Scouting Report
Yanni Gourde holds a +10.5% FO% edge overall. Danielson wins 38.9% vs left-shot opponents — Gourde shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Danielson 42.7% vs Gourde 48.2% (-10.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Gourde 83.0%
Defensive zone
Gourde 86.3%
Neutral zone
Gourde 88.9%
Result
Yanni Gourde favored at 86.7%
13.3%
86.7%
Danielson
Gourde
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Danielson
Gourde
Last 5: Danielson 4-1 Gourde
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Danielson
1
0
Danielson
Gourde
1 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Danielson
Gourde
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Danielson
2
0
Danielson
Gourde
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Danielson
Gourde
Edge
Even Strength
37.9% (140)
48.4% (4,954)
-10.5%
Power Play
20.0% (5)
57.4% (376)
-37.4%
Penalty Kill
100.0% (1)
39.9% (554)
+60.1%
On penalty kill, Danielson has a +60.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gourde shoots left. Danielson is 38.9% vs left-shot opponents (108).
Danielson shoots right. Gourde is 46.7% vs right-shot opponents (1,937).
Home / Away
Danielson
Gourde
Home
38.4% (99)
49.3% (2,915)
Away
36.2% (47)
47.2% (2,969)
By Period
Danielson
Gourde
P1
41.2%
49.9%
P2
37.7%
47.4%
P3
33.3%
47.5%
Final 5 min
40.0%
48.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Danielson
32.0%▼
37.7%
37.7%
Gourde
54.0%▲
46.0%
48.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 28, 2025 | 3 | 03:12 | Neutral | Nate Danielson |
| Nov 28, 2025 | 2 | 15:37 | Offensive | Nate Danielson |
| Nov 28, 2025 | 2 | 02:29 | Defensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Nov 28, 2025 | 1 | 17:07 | Neutral | Nate Danielson |
| Nov 28, 2025 | 1 | 01:44 | Defensive | Nate Danielson |