Scouting Report
Tyler Seguin holds a +9.7% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Smith 49.2% vs Seguin 54.2% (-9.7%)
Offensive zone
Seguin 56.3%
Defensive zone
Seguin 67.1%
Neutral zone
Seguin 54.1%
Result
Tyler Seguin favored at 59.2%
40.8%
59.2%
Smith
Seguin
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Smith
Seguin
Edge
Even Strength
45.0% (20)
55.0% (713)
-10.0%
On even strength, Seguin has a +10.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Seguin shoots right. Smith is 45.5% vs right-shot opponents (11).
Smith shoots right. Seguin is 51.8% vs right-shot opponents (274).
Home / Away
Smith
Seguin
Home
46.7% (15)
56.2% (443)
Away
40.0% (5)
53.2% (427)
By Period
Smith
Seguin
P1
62.5%
54.2%
P2
50.0%
52.9%
P3
16.7%
57.1%
Final 5 min
20.0%
57.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Smith
42.0%▲
40.5%
45.0%
Seguin
42.0%▼
54.0%
54.7%