Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (52.2% vs 53.1%). Look for Thompson on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Boyle 51.8% vs Thompson 52.2% (-0.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Boyle 65.1%
Defensive zone
Boyle 69.2%
Neutral zone
Boyle 52.4%
Result
Brian Boyle favored at 62.0%
62.0%
38.0%
Boyle
Thompson
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
5
(7 meetings)
2
5
Boyle
Thompson
Last 7: Boyle 2-5 Thompson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Thompson
1
3
Boyle
Thompson
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Thompson
0
1
Boyle
Thompson
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Boyle
Thompson
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Boyle
Thompson
Edge
Even Strength
51.7% (408)
56.3% (199)
-4.6%
Power Play
60.3% (68)
66.7% (6)
-6.4%
Penalty Kill
48.6% (105)
35.0% (40)
+13.6%
On penalty kill, Boyle has a +13.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thompson shoots left. Boyle is 49.2% vs left-shot opponents (354).
Boyle shoots left. Thompson is 55.1% vs left-shot opponents (138).
Home / Away
Boyle
Thompson
Home
54.2% (238)
59.5% (116)
Away
50.7% (343)
47.3% (129)
By Period
Boyle
Thompson
P1
53.9%
47.4%
P2
52.1%
56.2%
P3
50.7%
55.1%
Final 5 min
49.1%
57.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Boyle
40.0%▼
42.0%
52.2%
Thompson
64.0%▲
59.0%
53.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 3, 2017 | 3 | 18:46 | Neutral | Brian Boyle |
| Mar 3, 2017 | 2 | 19:57 | Neutral | Nate Thompson |
| Mar 3, 2017 | 2 | 14:40 | Offensive | Nate Thompson |
| Mar 3, 2017 | 2 | 12:29 | Defensive | Nate Thompson |
| Mar 3, 2017 | 2 | 08:16 | Offensive | Nate Thompson |
| Mar 3, 2017 | 1 | 16:44 | Offensive | Nate Thompson |
| Mar 3, 2017 | 1 | 02:56 | Offensive | Brian Boyle |