Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (52.6% vs 52.7%). Look for Thompson on defensive-zone draws (86% H2H, 7 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Carter 52.4% vs Thompson 52.5% (-0.1%)
H2H factor
Thompson leads 11-3 in 14 meetings
Offensive zone
Carter 67.4%
Defensive zone
Thompson 64.5%
Neutral zone
Carter 51.0%
Result
Nate Thompson favored at 52.1%
47.9%
52.1%
Carter
Thompson
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
11
(14 meetings)
3
11
Carter
Thompson
Last 10: Carter 1-9 Thompson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
2
2
Carter
Thompson
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Thompson
1
6
Carter
Thompson
7 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Thompson
0
3
Carter
Thompson
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Carter
Thompson
Edge
Even Strength
51.5% (934)
54.4% (870)
-2.9%
Power Play
58.5% (164)
45.8% (24)
+12.7%
Penalty Kill
52.6% (95)
45.1% (162)
+7.5%
On power play, Carter has a +12.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thompson shoots left. Carter is 51.6% vs left-shot opponents (810).
Carter shoots right. Thompson is 47.4% vs right-shot opponents (390).
Home / Away
Carter
Thompson
Home
55.1% (554)
55.3% (510)
Away
50.4% (639)
50.4% (546)
By Period
Carter
Thompson
P1
50.8%
53.5%
P2
52.1%
52.2%
P3
54.8%
52.7%
OT
50.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
51.7%
51.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Carter
62.0%▬
61.5%
52.6%
Thompson
64.0%▲
59.0%
52.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 18, 2015 | 3 | 15:46 | Neutral | Nate Thompson |
| Mar 18, 2015 | 3 | 13:35 | Defensive | Nate Thompson |
| Mar 18, 2015 | 3 | 01:02 | Offensive | Nate Thompson |
| Mar 18, 2015 | 3 | 00:45 | Neutral | Nate Thompson |
| Mar 18, 2015 | 2 | 01:31 | Defensive | Nate Thompson |
| Mar 18, 2015 | 2 | 01:13 | Defensive | Nate Thompson |
| Mar 18, 2015 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nate Thompson |
| Mar 18, 2015 | 1 | 09:56 | Defensive | Nate Thompson |
| Jan 17, 2015 | 1 | 19:11 | Defensive | Nate Thompson |
| Nov 15, 2014 | 3 | 08:05 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Nov 15, 2014 | 3 | 00:59 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Nov 15, 2014 | 2 | 02:31 | Defensive | Nate Thompson |
| Nov 12, 2014 | 1 | 18:28 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Nov 12, 2014 | 1 | 06:27 | Offensive | Nate Thompson |