Scouting Report
John Tavares holds a +4.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Tavares on offensive-zone draws (90% H2H, 10 meetings). Tavares wins 56.9% vs left-shot opponents — Thompson shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tavares 54.7% vs Thompson 50.3% (+4.9%)
H2H factor
Tavares leads 12-5 in 17 meetings
Offensive zone
Tavares 86.4%
Defensive zone
Thompson 56.7%
Neutral zone
Tavares 65.9%
Result
John Tavares favored at 74.0%
74.0%
26.0%
Tavares
Thompson
Head-to-Head Record
12
-
5
(17 meetings)
12
5
Tavares
Thompson
Last 10: Tavares 7-3 Thompson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tavares
9
1
Tavares
Thompson
10 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Tavares
2
1
Tavares
Thompson
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Thompson
1
3
Tavares
Thompson
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tavares
Thompson
Edge
Even Strength
54.5% (692)
49.6% (230)
+4.9%
Power Play
59.1% (149)
50.0% (2)
+9.1%
Penalty Kill
54.5% (11)
53.8% (52)
+0.7%
On power play, Tavares has a +9.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thompson shoots left. Tavares is 56.9% vs left-shot opponents (554).
Tavares shoots left. Thompson is 51.5% vs left-shot opponents (163).
Home / Away
Tavares
Thompson
Home
57.9% (404)
52.2% (134)
Away
52.9% (448)
48.7% (150)
By Period
Tavares
Thompson
P1
54.2%
54.5%
P2
55.1%
48.0%
P3
56.4%
48.2%
Final 5 min
57.1%
45.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tavares
46.0%▼
54.5%
55.3%
Thompson
64.0%▲
59.0%
50.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 14, 2021 | 3 | 03:39 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| May 14, 2021 | 2 | 16:23 | Defensive | Nate Thompson |
| Apr 24, 2021 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Apr 24, 2021 | 2 | 19:07 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Apr 24, 2021 | 2 | 17:11 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Apr 24, 2021 | 2 | 08:19 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Apr 24, 2021 | 2 | 00:16 | Neutral | Nate Thompson |
| Apr 24, 2021 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nate Thompson |
| Apr 2, 2021 | 3 | 11:40 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Apr 2, 2021 | 3 | 11:26 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Apr 2, 2021 | 1 | 15:14 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Apr 2, 2021 | 1 | 12:22 | Offensive | Nate Thompson |
| Mar 31, 2021 | 3 | 03:14 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Mar 31, 2021 | 1 | 08:12 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Mar 13, 2021 | 2 | 03:07 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Mar 11, 2021 | 1 | 17:05 | Neutral | Nate Thompson |
| Jan 18, 2021 | 2 | 17:29 | Offensive | John Tavares |