Scouting Report
Nate Thompson holds a +14.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Thompson on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Brown wins 37.6% vs left-shot opponents — Thompson shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Brown 44.9% vs Thompson 54.5% (-14.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Brown 94.1%
Defensive zone
Brown 83.1%
Neutral zone
Brown 84.1%
Result
Logan Brown favored at 87.3%
87.3%
12.7%
Brown
Thompson
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
6
(6 meetings)
0
6
Brown
Thompson
Last 6: Brown 0-6 Thompson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Thompson
0
2
Brown
Thompson
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Thompson
0
1
Brown
Thompson
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Thompson
0
3
Brown
Thompson
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Brown
Thompson
Edge
Even Strength
39.0% (118)
55.8% (654)
-16.8%
Power Play
57.1% (14)
50.0% (10)
+7.1%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (2)
51.2% (123)
-1.2%
On even strength, Thompson has a +16.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thompson shoots left. Brown is 37.6% vs left-shot opponents (85).
Brown shoots left. Thompson is 55.7% vs left-shot opponents (517).
Home / Away
Brown
Thompson
Home
50.9% (57)
57.0% (421)
Away
33.8% (77)
52.7% (366)
By Period
Brown
Thompson
P1
48.3%
57.9%
P2
32.6%
52.3%
P3
39.4%
55.2%
Final 5 min
41.4%
51.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Brown
34.0%▼
36.0%
41.0%
Thompson
64.0%▲
59.0%
55.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 11, 2019 | 2 | 02:12 | Neutral | Nate Thompson |
| Dec 11, 2019 | 1 | 02:15 | Neutral | Nate Thompson |
| Nov 20, 2019 | 2 | 19:55 | Offensive | Nate Thompson |
| Nov 20, 2019 | 2 | 00:44 | Neutral | Nate Thompson |
| Nov 20, 2019 | 1 | 12:42 | Offensive | Nate Thompson |
| Nov 20, 2019 | 1 | 06:59 | Defensive | Nate Thompson |