Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (55.7% vs 55.3%). Thompson wins 55.7% vs right-shot opponents — Bjugstad shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Thompson 54.3% vs Bjugstad 53.8% (+0.4%)
Offensive zone
Bjugstad 58.8%
Defensive zone
Thompson 56.8%
Neutral zone
Bjugstad 53.6%
Result
Nick Bjugstad favored at 51.9%
48.1%
51.9%
Thompson
Bjugstad
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Thompson
Bjugstad
Edge
Even Strength
55.5% (236)
55.9% (245)
-0.4%
Power Play
60.0% (5)
0.0% (3)
+60.0%
Penalty Kill
56.5% (46)
57.1% (7)
-0.6%
On power play, Thompson has a +60.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bjugstad shoots right. Thompson is 55.7% vs right-shot opponents (88).
Thompson shoots left. Bjugstad is 54.5% vs left-shot opponents (198).
Home / Away
Thompson
Bjugstad
Home
53.1% (128)
53.2% (111)
Away
57.9% (159)
56.9% (144)
By Period
Thompson
Bjugstad
P1
59.0%
44.6%
P2
55.4%
61.4%
P3
52.6%
61.3%
Final 5 min
51.4%
50.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Thompson
64.0%▲
59.0%
55.7%
Bjugstad
40.0%▼
48.0%
55.3%