Scouting Report
Nate Thompson holds a +4.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Bjugstad on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 12 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Thompson 52.9% vs Bjugstad 48.9% (+4.0%)
H2H factor
Thompson leads 14-13 in 27 meetings
Offensive zone
Bjugstad 50.5%
Defensive zone
Thompson 77.4%
Neutral zone
Thompson 61.8%
Result
Nate Thompson favored at 59.8%
59.8%
40.2%
Thompson
Bjugstad
Head-to-Head Record
14
-
13
(27 meetings)
14
13
Thompson
Bjugstad
Last 10: Thompson 4-6 Bjugstad
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bjugstad
4
8
Thompson
Bjugstad
12 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Thompson
5
1
Thompson
Bjugstad
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Thompson
5
4
Thompson
Bjugstad
9 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Thompson
Bjugstad
Edge
Even Strength
54.1% (5,812)
48.6% (6,634)
+5.5%
Power Play
54.8% (135)
55.2% (829)
-0.4%
Penalty Kill
47.9% (1,381)
44.3% (614)
+3.6%
On even strength, Thompson has a +5.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bjugstad shoots right. Thompson is 50.6% vs right-shot opponents (2,660).
Thompson shoots left. Bjugstad is 50.4% vs left-shot opponents (5,747).
Home / Away
Thompson
Bjugstad
Home
54.8% (3,626)
49.8% (4,020)
Away
51.1% (3,717)
48.1% (4,057)
By Period
Thompson
Bjugstad
P1
53.2%
49.0%
P2
52.9%
49.1%
P3
52.8%
48.4%
OT
47.9%
61.3%
Final 5 min
51.6%
47.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Thompson
64.0%▲
59.0%
52.9%
Bjugstad
40.0%▼
48.0%
48.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 2, 2019 | 2 | 16:34 | Offensive | Nate Thompson |
| Mar 2, 2019 | 2 | 10:29 | Defensive | Nate Thompson |
| Dec 23, 2017 | 3 | 10:28 | Neutral | Nick Bjugstad |
| Dec 23, 2017 | 2 | 13:33 | Offensive | Nate Thompson |
| Dec 23, 2017 | 2 | 04:40 | Neutral | Nick Bjugstad |
| Dec 23, 2017 | 2 | 04:36 | Offensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Feb 3, 2017 | 2 | 14:05 | Neutral | Nick Bjugstad |
| Feb 3, 2017 | 2 | 11:32 | Offensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Feb 3, 2017 | 2 | 11:05 | Offensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Feb 10, 2015 | 3 | 18:06 | Offensive | Nate Thompson |
| Feb 10, 2015 | 2 | 05:37 | Neutral | Nate Thompson |
| Feb 10, 2015 | 1 | 03:47 | Offensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Mar 13, 2014 | 2 | 18:53 | Neutral | Nick Bjugstad |
| Mar 13, 2014 | 1 | 01:26 | Defensive | Nate Thompson |
| Mar 13, 2014 | 1 | 01:14 | Offensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Dec 23, 2013 | 3 | 16:12 | Neutral | Nate Thompson |
| Dec 23, 2013 | 3 | 07:00 | Offensive | Nate Thompson |
| Dec 23, 2013 | 3 | 02:56 | Defensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Oct 27, 2013 | 3 | 07:56 | Offensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Oct 27, 2013 | 2 | 17:45 | Defensive | Nate Thompson |