Scouting Report
Nate Thompson holds a +12.4% FO% edge overall. Thompson wins 53.7% vs right-shot opponents — Schmaltz shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Thompson 54.5% vs Schmaltz 44.1% (+12.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Thompson 50.6%
Defensive zone
Thompson 92.5%
Neutral zone
Thompson 79.4%
Result
Nate Thompson favored at 61.0%
61.0%
39.0%
Thompson
Schmaltz
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
3
(8 meetings)
5
3
Thompson
Schmaltz
Last 8: Thompson 5-3 Schmaltz
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
3
3
Thompson
Schmaltz
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Thompson
2
0
Thompson
Schmaltz
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Thompson
Schmaltz
Edge
Even Strength
55.8% (654)
41.7% (338)
+14.1%
Power Play
50.0% (10)
47.1% (34)
+2.9%
Penalty Kill
51.2% (123)
75.0% (4)
-23.8%
On penalty kill, Schmaltz has a +23.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Schmaltz shoots right. Thompson is 53.7% vs right-shot opponents (270).
Thompson shoots left. Schmaltz is 43.8% vs left-shot opponents (274).
Home / Away
Thompson
Schmaltz
Home
57.0% (421)
48.2% (166)
Away
52.7% (366)
38.1% (210)
By Period
Thompson
Schmaltz
P1
57.9%
42.1%
P2
52.3%
45.8%
P3
55.2%
41.4%
OT
0.0%
22.2%
Final 5 min
51.5%
43.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Thompson
64.0%▲
59.0%
55.0%
Schmaltz
46.0%▬
45.0%
42.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 10, 2020 | 3 | 08:23 | Offensive | Nick Schmaltz |
| Feb 10, 2020 | 2 | 11:52 | Defensive | Nate Thompson |
| Feb 10, 2020 | 2 | 11:46 | Offensive | Nick Schmaltz |
| Oct 30, 2019 | 3 | 16:40 | Defensive | Nate Thompson |
| Oct 30, 2019 | 2 | 17:09 | Offensive | Nate Thompson |
| Oct 30, 2019 | 1 | 14:15 | Offensive | Nate Thompson |
| Oct 30, 2019 | 1 | 14:10 | Offensive | Nate Thompson |
| Oct 30, 2019 | 1 | 10:47 | Offensive | Nick Schmaltz |