Scouting Report
Nate Thompson holds a +8.0% FO% edge overall. Thompson wins 55.7% vs right-shot opponents — Schmaltz shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Thompson 54.3% vs Schmaltz 48.4% (+8.0%)
Offensive zone
Schmaltz 83.1%
Defensive zone
Thompson 79.2%
Neutral zone
Schmaltz 52.5%
Result
Nick Schmaltz favored at 52.1%
47.9%
52.1%
Thompson
Schmaltz
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Thompson
Schmaltz
Edge
Even Strength
55.5% (236)
42.9% (133)
+12.6%
Power Play
60.0% (5)
55.1% (89)
+4.9%
Penalty Kill
56.5% (46)
47.1% (17)
+9.4%
On even strength, Thompson has a +12.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Schmaltz shoots right. Thompson is 55.7% vs right-shot opponents (88).
Thompson shoots left. Schmaltz is 47.8% vs left-shot opponents (178).
Home / Away
Thompson
Schmaltz
Home
53.1% (128)
41.6% (125)
Away
57.9% (159)
54.4% (114)
By Period
Thompson
Schmaltz
P1
59.0%
40.0%
P2
55.4%
59.5%
P3
52.6%
45.0%
Final 5 min
51.4%
53.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Thompson
64.0%▲
59.0%
55.7%
Schmaltz
46.0%▬
45.0%
47.7%