Scouting Report
Nate Thompson holds a +10.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Thompson on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Thompson 52.9% vs Schmaltz 42.5% (+10.6%)
H2H factor
Thompson leads 10-4 in 14 meetings
Offensive zone
Thompson 62.3%
Defensive zone
Thompson 97.5%
Neutral zone
Thompson 94.0%
Result
Nate Thompson favored at 79.4%
79.4%
20.6%
Thompson
Schmaltz
Head-to-Head Record
10
-
4
(14 meetings)
10
4
Thompson
Schmaltz
Last 10: Thompson 7-3 Schmaltz
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Schmaltz
3
4
Thompson
Schmaltz
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Thompson
5
0
Thompson
Schmaltz
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Thompson
2
0
Thompson
Schmaltz
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Thompson
Schmaltz
Edge
Even Strength
54.1% (5,812)
41.2% (3,399)
+12.9%
Power Play
54.8% (135)
47.1% (649)
+7.7%
Penalty Kill
47.9% (1,381)
47.8% (134)
+0.1%
On even strength, Thompson has a +12.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Schmaltz shoots right. Thompson is 50.6% vs right-shot opponents (2,660).
Thompson shoots left. Schmaltz is 41.2% vs left-shot opponents (3,015).
Home / Away
Thompson
Schmaltz
Home
54.8% (3,626)
42.7% (2,089)
Away
51.1% (3,717)
41.9% (2,093)
By Period
Thompson
Schmaltz
P1
53.2%
41.1%
P2
52.9%
42.9%
P3
52.8%
43.0%
OT
47.9%
42.4%
Final 5 min
51.6%
42.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Thompson
64.0%▲
59.0%
52.9%
Schmaltz
46.0%▬
45.0%
42.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 10, 2020 | 3 | 08:23 | Offensive | Nick Schmaltz |
| Feb 10, 2020 | 2 | 11:52 | Defensive | Nate Thompson |
| Feb 10, 2020 | 2 | 11:46 | Offensive | Nick Schmaltz |
| Oct 30, 2019 | 3 | 16:40 | Defensive | Nate Thompson |
| Oct 30, 2019 | 2 | 17:09 | Offensive | Nate Thompson |
| Oct 30, 2019 | 1 | 14:15 | Offensive | Nate Thompson |
| Oct 30, 2019 | 1 | 14:10 | Offensive | Nate Thompson |
| Oct 30, 2019 | 1 | 10:47 | Offensive | Nick Schmaltz |
| Dec 27, 2018 | 3 | 17:46 | Neutral | Nate Thompson |
| Dec 27, 2018 | 2 | 17:10 | Neutral | Nate Thompson |
| Mar 3, 2018 | 1 | 09:00 | Defensive | Nate Thompson |
| Mar 3, 2018 | 1 | 03:34 | Defensive | Nate Thompson |
| Feb 19, 2018 | 3 | 05:02 | Defensive | Nate Thompson |
| Feb 19, 2018 | 1 | 17:29 | Offensive | Nick Schmaltz |