Scouting Report
Nate Thompson holds a +6.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Thompson on defensive-zone draws (88% H2H, 8 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Thompson 50.3% vs Suzuki 44.6% (+6.4%)
H2H factor
Thompson leads 8-6 in 14 meetings
Offensive zone
Suzuki 68.3%
Defensive zone
Thompson 84.1%
Neutral zone
Thompson 71.9%
Result
Nate Thompson favored at 64.5%
64.5%
35.5%
Thompson
Suzuki
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
6
(14 meetings)
8
6
Thompson
Suzuki
Last 10: Thompson 5-5 Suzuki
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Suzuki
1
4
Thompson
Suzuki
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Thompson
7
1
Thompson
Suzuki
8 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Suzuki
0
1
Thompson
Suzuki
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Thompson
Suzuki
Edge
Even Strength
49.6% (230)
43.8% (623)
+5.8%
Power Play
50.0% (2)
48.1% (129)
+1.9%
Penalty Kill
53.8% (52)
34.1% (44)
+19.7%
On penalty kill, Thompson has a +19.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Suzuki shoots right. Thompson is 48.8% vs right-shot opponents (121).
Thompson shoots left. Suzuki is 42.6% vs left-shot opponents (615).
Home / Away
Thompson
Suzuki
Home
52.2% (134)
44.8% (364)
Away
48.7% (150)
43.3% (432)
By Period
Thompson
Suzuki
P1
54.5%
45.8%
P2
48.0%
42.3%
P3
48.2%
43.8%
Final 5 min
45.9%
44.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Thompson
64.0%▲
59.0%
50.4%
Suzuki
62.0%▲
55.5%
44.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 30, 2021 | 2 | 17:26 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Apr 30, 2021 | 2 | 17:13 | Defensive | Nate Thompson |
| Apr 30, 2021 | 1 | 13:09 | Defensive | Nate Thompson |
| Mar 17, 2021 | 2 | 10:23 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Mar 17, 2021 | 1 | 19:00 | Defensive | Nate Thompson |
| Mar 15, 2021 | 1 | 16:22 | Defensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Mar 6, 2021 | 3 | 18:45 | Offensive | Nate Thompson |
| Mar 6, 2021 | 2 | 18:19 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Mar 6, 2021 | 2 | 05:33 | Defensive | Nate Thompson |
| Mar 4, 2021 | 1 | 15:03 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Feb 27, 2021 | 3 | 08:10 | Defensive | Nate Thompson |
| Feb 27, 2021 | 3 | 08:01 | Defensive | Nate Thompson |
| Feb 27, 2021 | 2 | 17:12 | Defensive | Nate Thompson |
| Feb 25, 2021 | 3 | 06:37 | Neutral | Nick Suzuki |