Scouting Report
Nate Thompson holds a +6.1% FO% edge overall. Thompson wins 55.7% vs right-shot opponents — Suzuki shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Thompson 54.3% vs Suzuki 49.6% (+6.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Suzuki 85.8%
Defensive zone
Suzuki 56.0%
Neutral zone
Suzuki 67.7%
Result
Nick Suzuki favored at 85.8%
14.2%
85.8%
Thompson
Suzuki
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
2
(2 meetings)
0
2
Thompson
Suzuki
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Suzuki
0
2
Thompson
Suzuki
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Thompson
Suzuki
Edge
Even Strength
55.5% (236)
50.3% (1,075)
+5.2%
Power Play
60.0% (5)
49.3% (219)
+10.7%
Penalty Kill
56.5% (46)
43.1% (116)
+13.4%
On penalty kill, Thompson has a +13.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Suzuki shoots right. Thompson is 55.7% vs right-shot opponents (88).
Thompson shoots left. Suzuki is 48.3% vs left-shot opponents (1,008).
Home / Away
Thompson
Suzuki
Home
53.1% (128)
53.6% (711)
Away
57.9% (159)
45.5% (699)
By Period
Thompson
Suzuki
P1
59.0%
48.5%
P2
55.4%
51.7%
P3
52.6%
49.0%
Final 5 min
51.4%
49.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Thompson
64.0%▲
59.0%
55.7%
Suzuki
62.0%▲
55.5%
49.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 21, 2022 | 3 | 10:05 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Apr 21, 2022 | 2 | 17:27 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |