Scouting Report
Nate Thompson holds a +3.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Thompson on defensive-zone draws (88% H2H, 8 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Thompson 52.9% vs Suzuki 49.3% (+3.6%)
H2H factor
Suzuki leads 8-8 in 16 meetings
Offensive zone
Suzuki 77.7%
Defensive zone
Thompson 82.0%
Neutral zone
Suzuki 52.1%
Result
Nate Thompson favored at 53.7%
53.7%
46.3%
Thompson
Suzuki
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
8
(16 meetings)
8
8
Thompson
Suzuki
Last 10: Thompson 4-6 Suzuki
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Suzuki
1
6
Thompson
Suzuki
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Thompson
7
1
Thompson
Suzuki
8 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Suzuki
0
1
Thompson
Suzuki
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Thompson
Suzuki
Edge
Even Strength
54.1% (5,812)
49.4% (6,327)
+4.7%
Power Play
54.8% (135)
50.7% (1,338)
+4.1%
Penalty Kill
47.9% (1,381)
43.6% (456)
+4.3%
On even strength, Thompson has a +4.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Suzuki shoots right. Thompson is 50.6% vs right-shot opponents (2,660).
Thompson shoots left. Suzuki is 48.3% vs left-shot opponents (5,913).
Home / Away
Thompson
Suzuki
Home
54.8% (3,626)
51.0% (3,997)
Away
51.1% (3,717)
47.6% (4,124)
By Period
Thompson
Suzuki
P1
53.2%
48.8%
P2
52.9%
49.1%
P3
52.8%
50.2%
OT
47.9%
44.4%
Final 5 min
51.6%
49.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Thompson
64.0%▲
59.0%
52.9%
Suzuki
62.0%▲
55.5%
49.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 21, 2022 | 3 | 10:05 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Apr 21, 2022 | 2 | 17:27 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Apr 30, 2021 | 2 | 17:26 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Apr 30, 2021 | 2 | 17:13 | Defensive | Nate Thompson |
| Apr 30, 2021 | 1 | 13:09 | Defensive | Nate Thompson |
| Mar 17, 2021 | 2 | 10:23 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Mar 17, 2021 | 1 | 19:00 | Defensive | Nate Thompson |
| Mar 15, 2021 | 1 | 16:22 | Defensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Mar 6, 2021 | 3 | 18:45 | Offensive | Nate Thompson |
| Mar 6, 2021 | 2 | 18:19 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Mar 6, 2021 | 2 | 05:33 | Defensive | Nate Thompson |
| Mar 4, 2021 | 1 | 15:03 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Feb 27, 2021 | 3 | 08:10 | Defensive | Nate Thompson |
| Feb 27, 2021 | 3 | 08:01 | Defensive | Nate Thompson |
| Feb 27, 2021 | 2 | 17:12 | Defensive | Nate Thompson |
| Feb 25, 2021 | 3 | 06:37 | Neutral | Nick Suzuki |