Scouting Report
Nate Thompson holds a +2.6% FO% edge overall. Thompson wins 55.0% vs right-shot opponents — Patrick shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Thompson 53.4% vs Patrick 51.1% (+2.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Thompson 58.3%
Defensive zone
Thompson 86.7%
Neutral zone
Thompson 75.9%
Result
Nate Thompson favored at 73.2%
73.2%
26.8%
Thompson
Patrick
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Thompson
Patrick
Last 5: Thompson 4-1 Patrick
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Thompson
2
0
Thompson
Patrick
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Thompson
2
0
Thompson
Patrick
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Patrick
0
1
Thompson
Patrick
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Thompson
Patrick
Edge
Even Strength
54.5% (628)
50.8% (732)
+3.7%
Power Play
47.4% (19)
57.8% (45)
-10.4%
Penalty Kill
51.3% (113)
50.0% (2)
+1.3%
On power play, Patrick has a +10.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Patrick shoots right. Thompson is 55.0% vs right-shot opponents (220).
Thompson shoots left. Patrick is 50.5% vs left-shot opponents (574).
Home / Away
Thompson
Patrick
Home
55.6% (329)
51.5% (388)
Away
52.4% (431)
50.9% (391)
By Period
Thompson
Patrick
P1
55.3%
53.7%
P2
48.1%
48.2%
P3
58.4%
52.5%
Final 5 min
56.7%
49.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Thompson
64.0%▲
59.0%
53.8%
Patrick
36.0%▼
49.5%
51.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 19, 2019 | 2 | 05:10 | Defensive | Nate Thompson |
| Mar 19, 2019 | 2 | 04:45 | Neutral | Nolan Patrick |
| Feb 21, 2019 | 2 | 05:52 | Defensive | Nate Thompson |
| Feb 7, 2019 | 1 | 12:37 | Offensive | Nate Thompson |
| Nov 1, 2018 | 3 | 04:50 | Offensive | Nate Thompson |