Scouting Report
Nate Thompson holds a +1.9% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Thompson 52.9% vs Patrick 51.0% (+1.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Thompson 59.2%
Defensive zone
Thompson 92.8%
Neutral zone
Thompson 77.5%
Result
Nate Thompson favored at 76.3%
76.3%
23.7%
Thompson
Patrick
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Thompson
Patrick
Last 5: Thompson 4-1 Patrick
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Thompson
2
0
Thompson
Patrick
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Thompson
2
0
Thompson
Patrick
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Patrick
0
1
Thompson
Patrick
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Thompson
Patrick
Edge
Even Strength
54.1% (5,812)
50.6% (1,978)
+3.5%
Power Play
54.8% (135)
57.5% (120)
-2.7%
Penalty Kill
47.9% (1,381)
57.7% (26)
-9.8%
On penalty kill, Patrick has a +9.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Patrick shoots right. Thompson is 50.6% vs right-shot opponents (2,660).
Thompson shoots left. Patrick is 49.5% vs left-shot opponents (1,441).
Home / Away
Thompson
Patrick
Home
54.8% (3,626)
49.7% (1,106)
Away
51.1% (3,717)
52.5% (1,018)
By Period
Thompson
Patrick
P1
53.2%
52.9%
P2
52.9%
49.1%
P3
52.8%
51.3%
OT
47.9%
40.0%
Final 5 min
51.6%
51.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Thompson
64.0%▲
59.0%
52.9%
Patrick
36.0%▼
49.5%
51.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 19, 2019 | 2 | 05:10 | Defensive | Nate Thompson |
| Mar 19, 2019 | 2 | 04:45 | Neutral | Nolan Patrick |
| Feb 21, 2019 | 2 | 05:52 | Defensive | Nate Thompson |
| Feb 7, 2019 | 1 | 12:37 | Offensive | Nate Thompson |
| Nov 1, 2018 | 3 | 04:50 | Offensive | Nate Thompson |