Scouting Report
Nate Thompson holds a +7.4% FO% edge overall. Thompson wins 55.7% vs right-shot opponents — Patrick shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Thompson 54.3% vs Patrick 48.9% (+7.4%)
Offensive zone
Patrick 75.2%
Defensive zone
Thompson 71.0%
Neutral zone
Patrick 51.7%
Result
Nolan Patrick favored at 51.9%
48.1%
51.9%
Thompson
Patrick
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Thompson
Patrick
Edge
Even Strength
55.5% (236)
47.4% (156)
+8.1%
Power Play
60.0% (5)
56.3% (16)
+3.7%
On even strength, Thompson has a +8.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Patrick shoots right. Thompson is 55.7% vs right-shot opponents (88).
Thompson shoots left. Patrick is 42.9% vs left-shot opponents (112).
Home / Away
Thompson
Patrick
Home
53.1% (128)
43.8% (96)
Away
57.9% (159)
53.9% (76)
By Period
Thompson
Patrick
P1
59.0%
44.4%
P2
55.4%
45.6%
P3
52.6%
56.0%
Final 5 min
51.4%
51.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Thompson
64.0%▲
59.0%
55.7%
Patrick
36.0%▼
49.5%
48.3%