Scouting Report
Nate Thompson holds a +20.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Thompson on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Thompson wins 55.8% vs left-shot opponents — Krebs shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Thompson 54.3% vs Krebs 40.7% (+20.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Thompson 58.2%
Defensive zone
Thompson 92.8%
Neutral zone
Thompson 87.7%
Result
Nate Thompson favored at 78.7%
78.7%
21.3%
Thompson
Krebs
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Thompson
Krebs
Last 6: Thompson 4-2 Krebs
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Thompson
Krebs
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Thompson
1
0
Thompson
Krebs
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Thompson
2
1
Thompson
Krebs
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Thompson
Krebs
Edge
Even Strength
55.5% (236)
33.3% (159)
+22.2%
Power Play
60.0% (5)
61.5% (13)
-1.5%
Penalty Kill
56.5% (46)
0.0% (1)
+56.5%
On penalty kill, Thompson has a +56.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Krebs shoots left. Thompson is 55.8% vs left-shot opponents (199).
Thompson shoots left. Krebs is 31.6% vs left-shot opponents (114).
Home / Away
Thompson
Krebs
Home
53.1% (128)
37.0% (81)
Away
57.9% (159)
33.7% (92)
By Period
Thompson
Krebs
P1
59.0%
39.0%
P2
55.4%
32.8%
P3
52.6%
33.9%
Final 5 min
51.4%
46.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Thompson
64.0%▲
59.0%
55.7%
Krebs
48.0%▲
45.0%
35.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 17, 2022 | 2 | 05:49 | Offensive | Peyton Krebs |
| Apr 17, 2022 | 1 | 11:09 | Offensive | Nate Thompson |
| Apr 16, 2022 | 2 | 08:27 | Neutral | Nate Thompson |
| Apr 16, 2022 | 2 | 05:23 | Neutral | Nate Thompson |
| Apr 16, 2022 | 2 | 02:40 | Defensive | Nate Thompson |
| Apr 16, 2022 | 1 | 03:55 | Neutral | Peyton Krebs |