Scouting Report
Nate Thompson holds a +7.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Thompson on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Thompson wins 54.3% vs left-shot opponents — Krebs shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Thompson 52.9% vs Krebs 45.9% (+7.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Thompson 66.8%
Defensive zone
Thompson 89.6%
Neutral zone
Thompson 82.0%
Result
Nate Thompson favored at 78.2%
78.2%
21.8%
Thompson
Krebs
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Thompson
Krebs
Last 6: Thompson 4-2 Krebs
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Thompson
Krebs
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Thompson
1
0
Thompson
Krebs
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Thompson
2
1
Thompson
Krebs
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Thompson
Krebs
Edge
Even Strength
54.1% (5,812)
46.0% (2,159)
+8.1%
Power Play
54.8% (135)
52.5% (99)
+2.3%
Penalty Kill
47.9% (1,381)
38.6% (171)
+9.3%
On penalty kill, Thompson has a +9.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Krebs shoots left. Thompson is 54.3% vs left-shot opponents (4,683).
Thompson shoots left. Krebs is 44.0% vs left-shot opponents (1,544).
Home / Away
Thompson
Krebs
Home
54.8% (3,626)
45.7% (1,182)
Away
51.1% (3,717)
45.8% (1,247)
By Period
Thompson
Krebs
P1
53.2%
45.9%
P2
52.9%
46.4%
P3
52.8%
44.8%
OT
47.9%
57.1%
Final 5 min
51.6%
49.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Thompson
64.0%▲
59.0%
52.9%
Krebs
48.0%▲
45.0%
45.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 17, 2022 | 2 | 05:49 | Offensive | Peyton Krebs |
| Apr 17, 2022 | 1 | 11:09 | Offensive | Nate Thompson |
| Apr 16, 2022 | 2 | 08:27 | Neutral | Nate Thompson |
| Apr 16, 2022 | 2 | 05:23 | Neutral | Nate Thompson |
| Apr 16, 2022 | 2 | 02:40 | Defensive | Nate Thompson |
| Apr 16, 2022 | 1 | 03:55 | Neutral | Peyton Krebs |