Scouting Report
Nate Thompson holds a +1.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Thompson on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Thompson 50.3% vs Monahan 49.1% (+1.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Monahan 64.6%
Defensive zone
Thompson 89.1%
Neutral zone
Thompson 68.2%
Result
Nate Thompson favored at 65.8%
65.8%
34.2%
Thompson
Monahan
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Thompson
Monahan
Last 5: Thompson 4-1 Monahan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Monahan
0
1
Thompson
Monahan
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Thompson
1
0
Thompson
Monahan
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Thompson
3
0
Thompson
Monahan
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Thompson
Monahan
Edge
Even Strength
49.6% (230)
46.4% (532)
+3.2%
Power Play
50.0% (2)
59.1% (132)
-9.1%
Penalty Kill
53.8% (52)
50.0% (30)
+3.8%
On power play, Monahan has a +9.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Monahan shoots left. Thompson is 51.5% vs left-shot opponents (163).
Thompson shoots left. Monahan is 49.8% vs left-shot opponents (484).
Home / Away
Thompson
Monahan
Home
52.2% (134)
49.0% (355)
Away
48.7% (150)
49.0% (339)
By Period
Thompson
Monahan
P1
54.5%
49.8%
P2
48.0%
46.6%
P3
48.2%
50.9%
Final 5 min
45.9%
51.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Thompson
64.0%▲
59.0%
50.4%
Monahan
54.0%▲
52.5%
49.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 5, 2021 | 3 | 03:02 | Neutral | Nate Thompson |
| May 5, 2021 | 2 | 05:33 | Neutral | Nate Thompson |
| May 5, 2021 | 2 | 02:00 | Defensive | Nate Thompson |
| Mar 29, 2021 | 2 | 17:32 | Neutral | Nate Thompson |
| Mar 29, 2021 | 1 | 01:20 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |