Scouting Report
Sidney Crosby holds a +1.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Thompson on neutral-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings). Thompson wins 57.7% vs left-shot opponents — Crosby shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Thompson 53.7% vs Crosby 55.1% (-1.5%)
H2H factor
Thompson leads 9-4 in 13 meetings
Offensive zone
Crosby 83.9%
Defensive zone
Thompson 74.4%
Neutral zone
Crosby 60.0%
Result
Sidney Crosby favored at 59.4%
40.6%
59.4%
Thompson
Crosby
Head-to-Head Record
9
-
4
(13 meetings)
9
4
Thompson
Crosby
Last 10: Thompson 7-3 Crosby
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Crosby
1
3
Thompson
Crosby
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Thompson
3
0
Thompson
Crosby
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Thompson
5
1
Thompson
Crosby
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Thompson
Crosby
Edge
Even Strength
56.1% (478)
55.1% (648)
+1.0%
Power Play
57.1% (14)
58.6% (256)
-1.5%
Penalty Kill
47.6% (164)
47.6% (63)
+0.0%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Crosby shoots left. Thompson is 57.7% vs left-shot opponents (430).
Thompson shoots left. Crosby is 56.0% vs left-shot opponents (620).
Home / Away
Thompson
Crosby
Home
55.2% (315)
57.1% (552)
Away
53.3% (349)
53.8% (429)
By Period
Thompson
Crosby
P1
57.5%
60.3%
P2
54.2%
55.8%
P3
51.1%
50.8%
OT
54.5%
54.5%
Final 5 min
50.9%
52.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Thompson
64.0%▲
59.0%
54.2%
Crosby
64.0%▲
54.5%
55.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 5, 2011 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nate Thompson |
| Nov 12, 2010 | 3 | 04:13 | Defensive | Nate Thompson |
| Nov 12, 2010 | 1 | 16:58 | Defensive | Nate Thompson |
| Oct 27, 2010 | 3 | 17:36 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Oct 27, 2010 | 3 | 11:23 | Neutral | Nate Thompson |
| Oct 27, 2010 | 3 | 05:18 | Neutral | Nate Thompson |
| Oct 27, 2010 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nate Thompson |
| Oct 27, 2010 | 2 | 10:52 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Oct 27, 2010 | 2 | 13:16 | Defensive | Nate Thompson |
| Oct 27, 2010 | 1 | 14:05 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Oct 27, 2010 | 1 | 05:07 | Offensive | Nate Thompson |
| Oct 27, 2010 | 1 | 02:51 | Neutral | Nate Thompson |
| Oct 27, 2010 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |