Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (52.9% vs 53.5%). Look for Thompson on defensive-zone draws (83% H2H, 24 meetings). Thompson wins 54.3% vs left-shot opponents — Crosby shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Thompson 52.9% vs Crosby 53.5% (-0.6%)
H2H factor
Thompson leads 33-27 in 60 meetings
Offensive zone
Crosby 89.5%
Defensive zone
Thompson 73.6%
Neutral zone
Crosby 55.9%
Result
Sidney Crosby favored at 57.0%
43.0%
57.0%
Thompson
Crosby
Head-to-Head Record
33
-
27
(60 meetings)
33
27
Thompson
Crosby
Last 10: Thompson 5-5 Crosby
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Crosby
4
19
Thompson
Crosby
23 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Thompson
20
4
Thompson
Crosby
24 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Thompson
9
4
Thompson
Crosby
13 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Thompson
Crosby
Edge
Even Strength
54.1% (5,812)
52.8% (17,990)
+1.3%
Power Play
54.8% (135)
57.4% (4,733)
-2.6%
Penalty Kill
47.9% (1,381)
47.1% (765)
+0.8%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Crosby shoots left. Thompson is 54.3% vs left-shot opponents (4,683).
Thompson shoots left. Crosby is 53.3% vs left-shot opponents (14,851).
Home / Away
Thompson
Crosby
Home
54.8% (3,626)
55.0% (11,972)
Away
51.1% (3,717)
52.0% (11,535)
By Period
Thompson
Crosby
P1
53.2%
53.6%
P2
52.9%
53.9%
P3
52.8%
53.3%
OT
47.9%
49.6%
Final 5 min
51.6%
52.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Thompson
64.0%▲
59.0%
52.9%
Crosby
64.0%▲
54.5%
53.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 24, 2022 | 3 | 12:24 | Defensive | Nate Thompson |
| Apr 24, 2022 | 3 | 07:20 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Apr 24, 2022 | 2 | 15:13 | Defensive | Nate Thompson |
| Apr 24, 2022 | 2 | 14:56 | Defensive | Nate Thompson |
| Apr 24, 2022 | 2 | 04:45 | Defensive | Nate Thompson |
| Apr 24, 2022 | 1 | 03:18 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Feb 14, 2020 | 2 | 09:29 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Feb 14, 2020 | 2 | 02:46 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Feb 14, 2020 | 2 | 02:41 | Defensive | Nate Thompson |
| Mar 2, 2019 | 2 | 13:35 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Mar 2, 2019 | 1 | 16:43 | Defensive | Nate Thompson |
| Mar 2, 2019 | 1 | 08:49 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Mar 2, 2019 | 1 | 03:54 | Defensive | Nate Thompson |
| Jan 12, 2019 | 2 | 19:24 | Defensive | Nate Thompson |
| Dec 15, 2018 | 1 | 18:40 | Defensive | Nate Thompson |
| Feb 15, 2018 | 3 | 14:45 | Defensive | Nate Thompson |
| Feb 15, 2018 | 3 | 12:37 | Defensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Feb 15, 2018 | 3 | 03:45 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Feb 15, 2018 | 2 | 18:02 | Defensive | Nate Thompson |
| Feb 15, 2018 | 2 | 10:54 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |