Scouting Report
Nate Thompson holds a +3.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Thompson on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Thompson wins 55.8% vs left-shot opponents — Crosby shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Thompson 54.3% vs Crosby 52.3% (+3.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Crosby 77.1%
Defensive zone
Thompson 87.9%
Neutral zone
Thompson 65.0%
Result
Nate Thompson favored at 66.2%
66.2%
33.8%
Thompson
Crosby
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Thompson
Crosby
Last 6: Thompson 4-2 Crosby
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Crosby
0
2
Thompson
Crosby
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Thompson
4
0
Thompson
Crosby
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Thompson
Crosby
Edge
Even Strength
55.5% (236)
50.8% (1,169)
+4.7%
Power Play
60.0% (5)
60.2% (261)
-0.2%
Penalty Kill
56.5% (46)
45.0% (20)
+11.5%
On penalty kill, Thompson has a +11.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Crosby shoots left. Thompson is 55.8% vs left-shot opponents (199).
Thompson shoots left. Crosby is 50.8% vs left-shot opponents (929).
Home / Away
Thompson
Crosby
Home
53.1% (128)
53.2% (726)
Away
57.9% (159)
51.7% (724)
By Period
Thompson
Crosby
P1
59.0%
51.3%
P2
55.4%
52.1%
P3
52.6%
54.1%
Final 5 min
51.4%
52.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Thompson
64.0%▲
59.0%
55.7%
Crosby
64.0%▲
54.5%
52.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 24, 2022 | 3 | 12:24 | Defensive | Nate Thompson |
| Apr 24, 2022 | 3 | 07:20 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Apr 24, 2022 | 2 | 15:13 | Defensive | Nate Thompson |
| Apr 24, 2022 | 2 | 14:56 | Defensive | Nate Thompson |
| Apr 24, 2022 | 2 | 04:45 | Defensive | Nate Thompson |
| Apr 24, 2022 | 1 | 03:18 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |