Aliaksei Protas vs Nathan MacKinnon
2022-23 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Nathan MacKinnon holds a +11.6% FO% edge overall. Look for MacKinnon on defensive-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings). Protas wins 44.0% vs right-shot opponents — MacKinnon shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Protas 43.3% vs MacKinnon 44.9% (-11.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Protas 54.3%
Defensive zone
MacKinnon 57.0%
Neutral zone
Protas 51.8%
Result
Nathan MacKinnon favored at 55.1%
44.9%
55.1%
Protas
MacKinnon
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Protas
MacKinnon
Last 6: Protas 2-4 MacKinnon
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: MacKinnon
0
1
Protas
MacKinnon
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: MacKinnon
2
3
Protas
MacKinnon
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Protas
MacKinnon
Edge
Even Strength
31.7% (63)
44.7% (1,053)
-13.0%
Penalty Kill
100.0% (1)
65.0% (20)
+35.0%
On penalty kill, Protas has a +35.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
MacKinnon shoots right. Protas is 44.0% vs right-shot opponents (25).
Protas shoots left. MacKinnon is 44.4% vs left-shot opponents (860).
Home / Away
Protas
MacKinnon
Home
36.7% (30)
49.4% (553)
Away
29.4% (34)
40.0% (615)
By Period
Protas
MacKinnon
P1
45.8%
45.3%
P2
31.0%
42.7%
P3
9.1%
45.1%
Final 5 min
50.0%
49.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Protas
38.0%▬
37.5%
32.8%
MacKinnon
48.0%▼
54.0%
44.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 24, 2023 | 2 | 18:03 | Defensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Jan 24, 2023 | 2 | 17:52 | Defensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Jan 24, 2023 | 2 | 15:15 | Defensive | Aliaksei Protas |
| Jan 24, 2023 | 2 | 12:26 | Defensive | Aliaksei Protas |
| Jan 24, 2023 | 2 | 10:21 | Defensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Jan 24, 2023 | 2 | 02:28 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |