Chris Tierney vs Nathan MacKinnon
2014-15 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Nathan MacKinnon holds a +3.1% FO% edge overall. Look for MacKinnon on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Tierney wins 43.5% vs right-shot opponents — MacKinnon shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tierney 45.2% vs MacKinnon 47.5% (-3.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Tierney 50.7%
Defensive zone
Tierney 52.6%
Neutral zone
Tierney 52.4%
Result
Chris Tierney favored at 52.1%
52.1%
47.9%
Tierney
MacKinnon
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Tierney
MacKinnon
Last 5: Tierney 1-4 MacKinnon
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: MacKinnon
0
1
Tierney
MacKinnon
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: MacKinnon
1
3
Tierney
MacKinnon
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tierney
MacKinnon
Edge
Even Strength
43.6% (321)
45.2% (365)
-1.6%
Power Play
50.0% (16)
57.1% (63)
-7.1%
On power play, MacKinnon has a +7.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
MacKinnon shoots right. Tierney is 43.5% vs right-shot opponents (138).
Tierney shoots left. MacKinnon is 50.5% vs left-shot opponents (299).
Home / Away
Tierney
MacKinnon
Home
46.5% (127)
48.0% (225)
Away
42.3% (215)
45.8% (203)
By Period
Tierney
MacKinnon
P1
42.7%
41.1%
P2
39.2%
49.6%
P3
48.8%
48.9%
Final 5 min
42.5%
47.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tierney
60.0%▲
56.5%
43.9%
MacKinnon
48.0%▼
54.0%
47.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 28, 2014 | 3 | 03:04 | Neutral | Chris Tierney |
| Oct 28, 2014 | 3 | 00:57 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Oct 28, 2014 | 2 | 11:07 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Oct 28, 2014 | 2 | 01:49 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Oct 28, 2014 | 1 | 13:43 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |