Scouting Report
Derek Grant holds a +3.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Grant on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Grant 48.8% vs MacKinnon 45.9% (+3.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
MacKinnon 59.1%
Defensive zone
Grant 79.6%
Neutral zone
Grant 69.8%
Result
Derek Grant favored at 73.0%
73.0%
27.0%
Grant
MacKinnon
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
3
(9 meetings)
6
3
Grant
MacKinnon
Last 9: Grant 6-3 MacKinnon
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Grant
3
0
Grant
MacKinnon
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
3
3
Grant
MacKinnon
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Grant
MacKinnon
Edge
Even Strength
49.1% (222)
45.8% (755)
+3.3%
Power Play
76.5% (17)
48.3% (60)
+28.2%
Penalty Kill
45.3% (181)
27.6% (29)
+17.7%
On power play, Grant has a +28.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
MacKinnon shoots right. Grant is 51.7% vs right-shot opponents (145).
Grant shoots left. MacKinnon is 44.5% vs left-shot opponents (636).
Home / Away
Grant
MacKinnon
Home
49.8% (223)
49.5% (396)
Away
47.2% (197)
41.7% (448)
By Period
Grant
MacKinnon
P1
43.9%
50.2%
P2
49.7%
43.8%
P3
51.4%
41.4%
OT
50.0%
66.7%
Final 5 min
51.2%
41.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Grant
48.0%▼
57.5%
48.6%
MacKinnon
48.0%▼
54.0%
45.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 19, 2022 | 3 | 17:14 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Jan 19, 2022 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Derek Grant |
| Jan 19, 2022 | 2 | 13:17 | Defensive | Derek Grant |
| Jan 2, 2022 | 3 | 16:37 | Neutral | Derek Grant |
| Jan 2, 2022 | 3 | 14:15 | Defensive | Derek Grant |
| Jan 2, 2022 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Jan 2, 2022 | 2 | 09:33 | Defensive | Derek Grant |
| Jan 2, 2022 | 2 | 03:22 | Neutral | Derek Grant |
| Jan 2, 2022 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |