Derick Brassard vs Nathan MacKinnon
2016-17 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (50.0% vs 50.6%).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Brassard 50.0% vs MacKinnon 50.5% (-0.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
MacKinnon 52.7%
Defensive zone
MacKinnon 72.8%
Neutral zone
MacKinnon 58.4%
Result
Nathan MacKinnon favored at 59.0%
41.0%
59.0%
Brassard
MacKinnon
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Brassard
MacKinnon
Last 5: Brassard 4-1 MacKinnon
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Brassard
2
0
Brassard
MacKinnon
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Brassard
1
0
Brassard
MacKinnon
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Brassard
MacKinnon
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Brassard
MacKinnon
Edge
Even Strength
49.7% (1,057)
49.3% (1,167)
+0.4%
Power Play
52.3% (155)
61.0% (187)
-8.7%
Penalty Kill
46.2% (13)
47.9% (167)
-1.7%
On power play, MacKinnon has a +8.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
MacKinnon shoots right. Brassard is 52.0% vs right-shot opponents (398).
Brassard shoots left. MacKinnon is 49.9% vs left-shot opponents (1,029).
Home / Away
Brassard
MacKinnon
Home
53.7% (616)
57.7% (728)
Away
46.1% (609)
44.0% (793)
By Period
Brassard
MacKinnon
P1
47.2%
50.1%
P2
50.9%
52.5%
P3
51.5%
49.3%
OT
70.0%
43.8%
Final 5 min
46.0%
55.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Brassard
42.0%▼
52.0%
50.0%
MacKinnon
54.0%▬
54.5%
50.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 11, 2017 | 3 | 06:12 | Defensive | Derick Brassard |
| Mar 11, 2017 | 2 | 00:09 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Mar 11, 2017 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Derick Brassard |
| Mar 2, 2017 | 3 | 04:55 | Offensive | Derick Brassard |
| Mar 2, 2017 | 3 | 04:49 | Offensive | Derick Brassard |