Scouting Report
Dylan Strome holds a +3.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Strome on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings). Strome wins 54.7% vs right-shot opponents — MacKinnon shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Strome 53.4% vs MacKinnon 49.9% (+3.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Strome 86.0%
Defensive zone
MacKinnon 59.4%
Neutral zone
Strome 60.5%
Result
Dylan Strome favored at 68.9%
68.9%
31.1%
Strome
MacKinnon
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
2
(8 meetings)
6
2
Strome
MacKinnon
Last 8: Strome 6-2 MacKinnon
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Strome
5
0
Strome
MacKinnon
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: MacKinnon
1
2
Strome
MacKinnon
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Strome
MacKinnon
Edge
Even Strength
52.6% (968)
49.2% (1,266)
+3.4%
Power Play
56.9% (311)
54.9% (193)
+2.0%
Penalty Kill
62.5% (8)
49.1% (55)
+13.4%
On penalty kill, Strome has a +13.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
MacKinnon shoots right. Strome is 54.7% vs right-shot opponents (349).
Strome shoots left. MacKinnon is 50.8% vs left-shot opponents (1,100).
Home / Away
Strome
MacKinnon
Home
53.4% (653)
50.9% (740)
Away
53.9% (634)
49.0% (774)
By Period
Strome
MacKinnon
P1
49.3%
50.9%
P2
54.6%
51.8%
P3
56.7%
47.1%
OT
62.5%
58.8%
Final 5 min
56.9%
51.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Strome
44.0%▼
55.0%
53.7%
MacKinnon
48.0%▼
54.0%
49.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 21, 2024 | 3 | 19:09 | Offensive | Dylan Strome |
| Nov 21, 2024 | 3 | 18:08 | Offensive | Dylan Strome |
| Nov 21, 2024 | 3 | 17:40 | Defensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Nov 21, 2024 | 3 | 17:36 | Offensive | Dylan Strome |
| Nov 21, 2024 | 3 | 15:22 | Offensive | Dylan Strome |
| Nov 21, 2024 | 3 | 04:32 | Offensive | Dylan Strome |
| Nov 15, 2024 | 3 | 06:59 | Defensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Nov 15, 2024 | 1 | 12:16 | Defensive | Dylan Strome |