Isac Lundeström vs Nathan MacKinnon
2020-21 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Nathan MacKinnon holds a +1.0% FO% edge overall. Look for MacKinnon on neutral-zone draws (71% H2H, 7 meetings). Lundeström wins 44.8% vs right-shot opponents — MacKinnon shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lundeström 48.0% vs MacKinnon 48.7% (-1.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
MacKinnon 50.4%
Defensive zone
MacKinnon 52.0%
Neutral zone
Lundeström 55.8%
Result
Isac Lundeström favored at 54.8%
54.8%
45.2%
Lundeström
MacKinnon
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
5
(8 meetings)
3
5
Lundeström
MacKinnon
Last 8: Lundeström 3-5 MacKinnon
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lundeström
1
0
Lundeström
MacKinnon
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: MacKinnon
2
5
Lundeström
MacKinnon
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lundeström
MacKinnon
Edge
Even Strength
46.4% (366)
48.5% (439)
-2.1%
Power Play
37.5% (8)
54.8% (42)
-17.3%
Penalty Kill
66.7% (24)
25.0% (12)
+41.7%
On penalty kill, Lundeström has a +41.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
MacKinnon shoots right. Lundeström is 44.8% vs right-shot opponents (125).
Lundeström shoots left. MacKinnon is 47.4% vs left-shot opponents (424).
Home / Away
Lundeström
MacKinnon
Home
46.9% (192)
52.5% (221)
Away
48.1% (206)
45.2% (272)
By Period
Lundeström
MacKinnon
P1
48.1%
50.5%
P2
50.4%
45.5%
P3
45.6%
48.5%
OT
16.7%
50.0%
Final 5 min
46.8%
44.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lundeström
52.0%▬
52.0%
47.5%
MacKinnon
48.0%▼
54.0%
48.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 29, 2021 | 3 | 03:19 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Mar 29, 2021 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Mar 29, 2021 | 1 | 18:03 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Mar 29, 2021 | 1 | 02:56 | Neutral | Isac Lundeström |
| Mar 29, 2021 | 1 | 02:41 | Defensive | Isac Lundeström |
| Mar 29, 2021 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Mar 16, 2021 | 1 | 03:05 | Neutral | Isac Lundeström |
| Mar 16, 2021 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |