Juho Lammikko vs Nathan MacKinnon
2018-19 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (42.8% vs 43.7%). Look for Lammikko on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Lammikko wins 44.5% vs right-shot opponents — MacKinnon shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lammikko 44.4% vs MacKinnon 44.2% (-0.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
MacKinnon 66.3%
Defensive zone
Lammikko 62.0%
Neutral zone
Lammikko 50.3%
Result
Juho Lammikko favored at 54.0%
54.0%
46.0%
Lammikko
MacKinnon
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Lammikko
MacKinnon
Last 5: Lammikko 2-3 MacKinnon
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: MacKinnon
0
1
Lammikko
MacKinnon
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lammikko
2
1
Lammikko
MacKinnon
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: MacKinnon
0
1
Lammikko
MacKinnon
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lammikko
MacKinnon
Edge
Even Strength
43.3% (275)
42.8% (1,039)
+0.5%
Power Play
60.0% (5)
50.8% (118)
+9.2%
Penalty Kill
38.5% (52)
46.2% (26)
-7.7%
On power play, Lammikko has a +9.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
MacKinnon shoots right. Lammikko is 44.5% vs right-shot opponents (110).
Lammikko shoots left. MacKinnon is 42.2% vs left-shot opponents (889).
Home / Away
Lammikko
MacKinnon
Home
44.4% (160)
48.0% (586)
Away
41.3% (172)
39.5% (597)
By Period
Lammikko
MacKinnon
P1
38.9%
46.1%
P2
45.3%
41.5%
P3
42.9%
43.8%
Final 5 min
50.7%
47.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lammikko
46.0%▼
50.5%
42.8%
MacKinnon
48.0%▼
54.0%
43.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 6, 2018 | 3 | 12:34 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Dec 6, 2018 | 3 | 09:07 | Defensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Dec 6, 2018 | 2 | 19:14 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Dec 6, 2018 | 2 | 14:45 | Defensive | Juho Lammikko |
| Dec 6, 2018 | 1 | 15:55 | Defensive | Juho Lammikko |