Logan Cooley vs Nathan MacKinnon
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Nathan MacKinnon holds a +5.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Cooley on neutral-zone draws (88% H2H, 8 meetings). Cooley wins 43.7% vs right-shot opponents — MacKinnon shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cooley 42.0% vs MacKinnon 46.7% (-5.2%)
H2H factor
Cooley leads 16-7 in 23 meetings
Offensive zone
MacKinnon 79.9%
Defensive zone
MacKinnon 94.4%
Neutral zone
MacKinnon 83.3%
Result
Nathan MacKinnon favored at 86.1%
13.9%
86.1%
Cooley
MacKinnon
Head-to-Head Record
16
-
7
(23 meetings)
16
7
Cooley
MacKinnon
Last 10: Cooley 6-4 MacKinnon
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Cooley
5
2
Cooley
MacKinnon
7 total
Defensive Zone
Even
4
4
Cooley
MacKinnon
8 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Cooley
7
1
Cooley
MacKinnon
8 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cooley
MacKinnon
Edge
Even Strength
41.1% (1,520)
46.0% (11,051)
-4.9%
Power Play
44.7% (208)
53.2% (1,394)
-8.5%
Penalty Kill
41.9% (43)
42.9% (499)
-1.0%
On power play, MacKinnon has a +8.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
MacKinnon shoots right. Cooley is 43.7% vs right-shot opponents (655).
Cooley shoots left. MacKinnon is 46.9% vs left-shot opponents (9,367).
Home / Away
Cooley
MacKinnon
Home
41.9% (883)
49.6% (6,342)
Away
41.1% (888)
43.9% (6,603)
By Period
Cooley
MacKinnon
P1
41.3%
47.4%
P2
43.1%
46.5%
P3
39.5%
45.9%
OT
100.0%
47.7%
Final 5 min
37.1%
48.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cooley
46.0%▲
40.5%
41.5%
MacKinnon
54.0%▬
54.5%
46.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 21, 2025 | 2 | 04:54 | Offensive | Logan Cooley |
| Oct 21, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Logan Cooley |
| Oct 21, 2025 | 1 | 03:46 | Defensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Oct 21, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Logan Cooley |
| Oct 9, 2025 | 3 | 16:01 | Defensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Oct 9, 2025 | 3 | 10:40 | Defensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Oct 9, 2025 | 1 | 06:57 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Dec 27, 2024 | 3 | 12:18 | Defensive | Logan Cooley |
| Dec 27, 2024 | 3 | 11:59 | Defensive | Logan Cooley |
| Dec 27, 2024 | 2 | 09:44 | Neutral | Logan Cooley |
| Dec 27, 2024 | 2 | 06:53 | Offensive | Logan Cooley |
| Dec 27, 2024 | 2 | 06:39 | Offensive | Logan Cooley |
| Dec 27, 2024 | 1 | 01:08 | Offensive | Logan Cooley |
| Dec 12, 2024 | 3 | 16:11 | Neutral | Logan Cooley |
| Dec 12, 2024 | 3 | 15:49 | Neutral | Logan Cooley |
| Dec 12, 2024 | 2 | 12:41 | Offensive | Logan Cooley |
| Dec 12, 2024 | 1 | 05:40 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Dec 12, 2024 | 1 | 04:55 | Neutral | Logan Cooley |
| Oct 24, 2024 | 2 | 00:30 | Defensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Feb 18, 2024 | 3 | 04:13 | Neutral | Logan Cooley |