Scouting Report
Nathan MacKinnon holds a +2.1% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
MacKinnon 46.8% vs Petan 45.7% (+2.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
MacKinnon 58.1%
Defensive zone
MacKinnon 54.7%
Neutral zone
MacKinnon 54.7%
Result
Nathan MacKinnon favored at 56.1%
56.1%
43.9%
MacKinnon
Petan
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
MacKinnon
Petan
Last 5: MacKinnon 3-2 Petan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: MacKinnon
2
0
MacKinnon
Petan
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Petan
0
1
MacKinnon
Petan
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
MacKinnon
Petan
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
MacKinnon
Petan
Edge
Even Strength
46.1% (11,218)
45.4% (416)
+0.7%
Power Play
53.3% (1,412)
34.6% (26)
+18.7%
Penalty Kill
42.8% (502)
0.0% (1)
+42.8%
On penalty kill, MacKinnon has a +42.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Petan shoots left. MacKinnon is 47.1% vs left-shot opponents (9,490).
MacKinnon shoots right. Petan is 45.3% vs right-shot opponents (192).
Home / Away
MacKinnon
Petan
Home
49.7% (6,444)
42.3% (196)
Away
44.0% (6,689)
46.6% (247)
By Period
MacKinnon
Petan
P1
47.4%
51.9%
P2
46.6%
45.0%
P3
46.1%
35.2%
Final 5 min
49.0%
39.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
MacKinnon
48.0%▼
54.0%
46.8%
Petan
34.0%▼
43.0%
44.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 4, 2017 | 1 | 14:02 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Nov 11, 2016 | 3 | 19:54 | Neutral | Nic Petan |
| Nov 11, 2016 | 3 | 14:51 | Defensive | Nic Petan |
| Nov 11, 2016 | 3 | 07:48 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Nov 11, 2016 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |