Scouting Report
Nathan MacKinnon holds a +15.0% FO% edge overall. MacKinnon wins 44.5% vs left-shot opponents — Petan shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
MacKinnon 45.9% vs Petan 43.8% (+15.0%)
Offensive zone
MacKinnon 54.2%
Defensive zone
MacKinnon 64.0%
Neutral zone
MacKinnon 51.2%
Result
Nathan MacKinnon favored at 56.4%
56.4%
43.6%
MacKinnon
Petan
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
MacKinnon
Petan
Edge
Even Strength
45.8% (755)
31.6% (38)
+14.2%
Power Play
48.3% (60)
25.0% (8)
+23.3%
On power play, MacKinnon has a +23.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Petan shoots left. MacKinnon is 44.5% vs left-shot opponents (636).
MacKinnon shoots right. Petan is 17.6% vs right-shot opponents (17).
Home / Away
MacKinnon
Petan
Home
49.5% (396)
25.0% (32)
Away
41.7% (448)
42.9% (14)
By Period
MacKinnon
Petan
P1
50.2%
37.5%
P2
43.8%
33.3%
P3
41.4%
16.7%
Final 5 min
41.0%
33.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
MacKinnon
48.0%▼
54.0%
45.4%
Petan
34.0%▼
43.0%
30.4%