Nathan MacKinnon vs Patrice Bergeron
2022-23 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Patrice Bergeron holds a +16.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Bergeron on defensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). MacKinnon wins 44.5% vs right-shot opponents — Bergeron shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
MacKinnon 44.9% vs Bergeron 60.5% (-16.7%)
H2H factor
Bergeron leads 5-5 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Bergeron 64.3%
Defensive zone
Bergeron 52.2%
Neutral zone
Bergeron 57.5%
Result
Patrice Bergeron favored at 55.5%
44.5%
55.5%
MacKinnon
Bergeron
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
5
(10 meetings)
5
5
MacKinnon
Bergeron
Last 10: MacKinnon 5-5 Bergeron
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: MacKinnon
1
0
MacKinnon
Bergeron
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bergeron
1
4
MacKinnon
Bergeron
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: MacKinnon
3
1
MacKinnon
Bergeron
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
MacKinnon
Bergeron
Edge
Even Strength
44.7% (1,053)
62.5% (1,109)
-17.8%
Power Play
36.8% (95)
62.2% (352)
-25.4%
Penalty Kill
65.0% (20)
53.5% (245)
+11.5%
On power play, Bergeron has a +25.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bergeron shoots right. MacKinnon is 44.5% vs right-shot opponents (308).
MacKinnon shoots right. Bergeron is 56.1% vs right-shot opponents (528).
Home / Away
MacKinnon
Bergeron
Home
49.4% (553)
61.9% (917)
Away
40.0% (615)
60.2% (789)
By Period
MacKinnon
Bergeron
P1
45.3%
60.8%
P2
42.7%
60.3%
P3
45.1%
63.0%
OT
46.2%
51.5%
Final 5 min
49.8%
58.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
MacKinnon
48.0%▼
54.0%
44.4%
Bergeron
76.0%▲
64.5%
61.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 3, 2022 | 3 | 12:16 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Dec 3, 2022 | 2 | 14:09 | Defensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Dec 3, 2022 | 2 | 04:48 | Neutral | Patrice Bergeron |
| Dec 3, 2022 | 2 | 02:37 | Defensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Dec 3, 2022 | 2 | 02:35 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Dec 3, 2022 | 2 | 02:31 | Defensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Dec 3, 2022 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Dec 3, 2022 | 1 | 14:03 | Defensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Dec 3, 2022 | 1 | 01:36 | Defensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Dec 3, 2022 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |