Nathan MacKinnon vs Patrice Bergeron
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Patrice Bergeron holds a +12.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Bergeron on defensive-zone draws (61% H2H, 28 meetings). MacKinnon wins 46.0% vs right-shot opponents — Bergeron shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
MacKinnon 46.8% vs Bergeron 59.2% (-12.4%)
H2H factor
Bergeron leads 42-38 in 80 meetings
Offensive zone
MacKinnon 71.4%
Defensive zone
MacKinnon 70.6%
Neutral zone
MacKinnon 65.7%
Result
Nathan MacKinnon favored at 68.7%
68.7%
31.3%
MacKinnon
Bergeron
Head-to-Head Record
38
-
42
(80 meetings)
38
42
MacKinnon
Bergeron
Last 10: MacKinnon 5-5 Bergeron
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
9
9
MacKinnon
Bergeron
18 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bergeron
11
17
MacKinnon
Bergeron
28 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: MacKinnon
18
16
MacKinnon
Bergeron
34 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
MacKinnon
Bergeron
Edge
Even Strength
46.1% (11,218)
60.1% (13,938)
-14.0%
Power Play
53.3% (1,412)
60.8% (3,213)
-7.5%
Penalty Kill
42.8% (502)
53.0% (2,776)
-10.2%
On even strength, Bergeron has a +14.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bergeron shoots right. MacKinnon is 46.0% vs right-shot opponents (3,643).
MacKinnon shoots right. Bergeron is 56.7% vs right-shot opponents (6,685).
Home / Away
MacKinnon
Bergeron
Home
49.7% (6,444)
61.2% (10,028)
Away
44.0% (6,689)
57.3% (9,930)
By Period
MacKinnon
Bergeron
P1
47.4%
59.3%
P2
46.6%
60.0%
P3
46.1%
58.6%
OT
48.4%
57.9%
Final 5 min
49.0%
58.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
MacKinnon
48.0%▼
54.0%
46.8%
Bergeron
76.0%▲
64.5%
59.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 3, 2022 | 3 | 12:16 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Dec 3, 2022 | 2 | 14:09 | Defensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Dec 3, 2022 | 2 | 04:48 | Neutral | Patrice Bergeron |
| Dec 3, 2022 | 2 | 02:37 | Defensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Dec 3, 2022 | 2 | 02:35 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Dec 3, 2022 | 2 | 02:31 | Defensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Dec 3, 2022 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Dec 3, 2022 | 1 | 14:03 | Defensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Dec 3, 2022 | 1 | 01:36 | Defensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Dec 3, 2022 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Feb 21, 2022 | 2 | 18:10 | Neutral | Patrice Bergeron |
| Feb 21, 2022 | 1 | 17:30 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Feb 21, 2022 | 1 | 13:51 | Defensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Jan 26, 2022 | 1 | 00:19 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Jan 26, 2022 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Oct 10, 2019 | 3 | 18:20 | Defensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Oct 10, 2019 | 3 | 13:10 | Defensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Oct 10, 2019 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Patrice Bergeron |
| Oct 10, 2019 | 1 | 10:52 | Neutral | Patrice Bergeron |
| Oct 10, 2019 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Patrice Bergeron |