Scouting Report
Riley Nash holds a +3.8% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
MacKinnon 46.5% vs Nash 50.0% (-3.8%)
Offensive zone
MacKinnon 50.7%
Defensive zone
MacKinnon 70.4%
Neutral zone
MacKinnon 56.5%
Result
Nathan MacKinnon favored at 59.2%
59.2%
40.8%
MacKinnon
Nash
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
MacKinnon
Nash
Edge
Even Strength
45.5% (1,190)
50.0% (4)
-4.5%
On even strength, Nash has a +4.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nash shoots right. MacKinnon is 47.2% vs right-shot opponents (409).
MacKinnon shoots right. Nash is 100.0% vs right-shot opponents (1).
By Period
MacKinnon
Nash
P1
45.3%
50.0%
P3
45.0%
50.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
MacKinnon
48.0%▼
54.0%
46.2%
Nash
48.0%▼
49.5%
50.0%