Nathan MacKinnon vs Scott Laughton
2023-24 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Scott Laughton holds a +2.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Laughton on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). MacKinnon wins 45.7% vs left-shot opponents — Laughton shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
MacKinnon 46.5% vs Laughton 49.0% (-2.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
MacKinnon 74.4%
Defensive zone
MacKinnon 62.5%
Neutral zone
MacKinnon 62.8%
Result
Nathan MacKinnon favored at 69.6%
69.6%
30.4%
MacKinnon
Laughton
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
MacKinnon
Laughton
Last 5: MacKinnon 1-4 Laughton
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Laughton
0
3
MacKinnon
Laughton
3 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
MacKinnon
Laughton
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
MacKinnon
Laughton
Edge
Even Strength
45.5% (1,190)
49.1% (761)
-3.6%
Power Play
56.4% (94)
49.3% (69)
+7.1%
Penalty Kill
40.0% (30)
47.6% (147)
-7.6%
On penalty kill, Laughton has a +7.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Laughton shoots left. MacKinnon is 45.7% vs left-shot opponents (905).
MacKinnon shoots right. Laughton is 47.7% vs right-shot opponents (331).
Home / Away
MacKinnon
Laughton
Home
47.8% (670)
50.7% (485)
Away
44.6% (644)
47.2% (492)
By Period
MacKinnon
Laughton
P1
45.3%
46.5%
P2
48.5%
51.1%
P3
45.0%
49.5%
OT
33.3%
35.7%
Final 5 min
47.4%
47.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
MacKinnon
48.0%▼
54.0%
46.2%
Laughton
56.0%▬
56.0%
48.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 9, 2023 | 3 | 18:22 | Defensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Dec 9, 2023 | 3 | 18:16 | Offensive | Scott Laughton |
| Dec 9, 2023 | 3 | 09:12 | Defensive | Scott Laughton |
| Dec 9, 2023 | 3 | 03:45 | Offensive | Scott Laughton |
| Dec 9, 2023 | 1 | 03:08 | Offensive | Scott Laughton |