Nathan MacKinnon vs Scott Laughton
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Scott Laughton holds a +5.5% FO% edge overall. Look for MacKinnon on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). MacKinnon wins 53.8% vs left-shot opponents — Laughton shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
MacKinnon 51.3% vs Laughton 56.0% (-5.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
MacKinnon 74.6%
Defensive zone
Laughton 93.4%
Neutral zone
Laughton 68.4%
Result
Nathan MacKinnon favored at 52.4%
52.4%
47.6%
MacKinnon
Laughton
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
MacKinnon
Laughton
Last 5: MacKinnon 3-2 Laughton
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: MacKinnon
2
1
MacKinnon
Laughton
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Laughton
0
1
MacKinnon
Laughton
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: MacKinnon
1
0
MacKinnon
Laughton
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
MacKinnon
Laughton
Edge
Even Strength
50.0% (992)
55.2% (455)
-5.2%
Power Play
64.9% (148)
75.0% (4)
-10.1%
Penalty Kill
34.4% (32)
62.8% (137)
-28.4%
On penalty kill, Laughton has a +28.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Laughton shoots left. MacKinnon is 53.8% vs left-shot opponents (839).
MacKinnon shoots right. Laughton is 55.4% vs right-shot opponents (202).
Home / Away
MacKinnon
Laughton
Home
53.3% (591)
57.4% (263)
Away
49.6% (581)
56.8% (333)
By Period
MacKinnon
Laughton
P1
49.9%
55.3%
P2
53.2%
61.4%
P3
50.8%
53.5%
OT
66.7%
100.0%
Final 5 min
56.1%
57.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
MacKinnon
48.0%▼
54.0%
51.5%
Laughton
56.0%▬
56.0%
57.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 25, 2026 | 3 | 17:17 | Offensive | Scott Laughton |
| Jan 25, 2026 | 3 | 13:23 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Jan 25, 2026 | 3 | 13:18 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Jan 25, 2026 | 2 | 15:05 | Defensive | Scott Laughton |
| Jan 12, 2026 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |