Nathan MacKinnon vs Ty Dellandrea
2024-25 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (49.9% vs 49.9%). Look for Dellandrea on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
MacKinnon 49.9% vs Dellandrea 49.9% (+0.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
MacKinnon 74.1%
Defensive zone
Dellandrea 65.1%
Neutral zone
Dellandrea 53.6%
Result
Nathan MacKinnon favored at 51.0%
51.0%
49.0%
MacKinnon
Dellandrea
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
4
(7 meetings)
3
4
MacKinnon
Dellandrea
Last 7: MacKinnon 3-4 Dellandrea
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
MacKinnon
Dellandrea
2 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
MacKinnon
Dellandrea
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Dellandrea
1
2
MacKinnon
Dellandrea
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
MacKinnon
Dellandrea
Edge
Even Strength
49.2% (1,266)
51.1% (356)
-1.9%
Power Play
54.9% (193)
100.0% (6)
-45.1%
Penalty Kill
49.1% (55)
36.8% (57)
+12.3%
On power play, Dellandrea has a +45.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dellandrea shoots right. MacKinnon is 47.6% vs right-shot opponents (414).
MacKinnon shoots right. Dellandrea is 53.7% vs right-shot opponents (82).
Home / Away
MacKinnon
Dellandrea
Home
50.9% (740)
46.7% (180)
Away
49.0% (774)
52.3% (239)
By Period
MacKinnon
Dellandrea
P1
50.9%
47.8%
P2
51.8%
50.9%
P3
47.1%
50.8%
Final 5 min
51.2%
44.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
MacKinnon
48.0%▼
54.0%
49.9%
Dellandrea
58.0%▲
53.5%
49.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 6, 2025 | 3 | 08:10 | Neutral | Ty Dellandrea |
| Mar 6, 2025 | 2 | 17:33 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Mar 6, 2025 | 2 | 17:22 | Defensive | Ty Dellandrea |
| Mar 6, 2025 | 1 | 10:51 | Neutral | Ty Dellandrea |
| Oct 20, 2024 | 3 | 03:07 | Offensive | Ty Dellandrea |
| Oct 20, 2024 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Oct 20, 2024 | 1 | 18:39 | Defensive | Nathan MacKinnon |