Nathan MacKinnon vs Ty Dellandrea
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (51.5% vs 52.3%). MacKinnon wins 45.6% vs right-shot opponents — Dellandrea shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
MacKinnon 51.3% vs Dellandrea 51.9% (-0.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
MacKinnon 87.5%
Defensive zone
Dellandrea 75.5%
Neutral zone
MacKinnon 55.9%
Result
Ty Dellandrea favored at 75.5%
24.5%
75.5%
MacKinnon
Dellandrea
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
2
(2 meetings)
0
2
MacKinnon
Dellandrea
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dellandrea
0
2
MacKinnon
Dellandrea
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
MacKinnon
Dellandrea
Edge
Even Strength
50.0% (992)
54.1% (355)
-4.1%
Power Play
64.9% (148)
53.8% (13)
+11.1%
Penalty Kill
34.4% (32)
47.6% (143)
-13.2%
On penalty kill, Dellandrea has a +13.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dellandrea shoots right. MacKinnon is 45.6% vs right-shot opponents (333).
MacKinnon shoots right. Dellandrea is 61.7% vs right-shot opponents (115).
Home / Away
MacKinnon
Dellandrea
Home
53.3% (591)
54.3% (278)
Away
49.6% (581)
49.8% (233)
By Period
MacKinnon
Dellandrea
P1
49.9%
54.2%
P2
53.2%
50.6%
P3
50.8%
51.8%
OT
66.7%
100.0%
Final 5 min
56.1%
50.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
MacKinnon
48.0%▼
54.0%
51.5%
Dellandrea
58.0%▲
53.5%
52.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 26, 2025 | 3 | 09:52 | Defensive | Ty Dellandrea |
| Nov 26, 2025 | 1 | 09:29 | Defensive | Ty Dellandrea |