Nathan MacKinnon vs Tyler Bozak
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Tyler Bozak holds a +6.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Bozak on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 12 meetings). MacKinnon wins 46.0% vs right-shot opponents — Bozak shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
MacKinnon 46.8% vs Bozak 53.4% (-6.7%)
H2H factor
Bozak leads 24-15 in 39 meetings
Offensive zone
MacKinnon 69.7%
Defensive zone
MacKinnon 82.7%
Neutral zone
MacKinnon 80.0%
Result
Nathan MacKinnon favored at 77.7%
77.7%
22.3%
MacKinnon
Bozak
Head-to-Head Record
15
-
24
(39 meetings)
15
24
MacKinnon
Bozak
Last 10: MacKinnon 1-9 Bozak
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bozak
4
8
MacKinnon
Bozak
12 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bozak
5
7
MacKinnon
Bozak
12 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bozak
6
9
MacKinnon
Bozak
15 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
MacKinnon
Bozak
Edge
Even Strength
46.1% (11,218)
53.7% (9,596)
-7.6%
Power Play
53.3% (1,412)
55.2% (1,990)
-1.9%
Penalty Kill
42.8% (502)
48.0% (1,094)
-5.2%
On even strength, Bozak has a +7.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bozak shoots right. MacKinnon is 46.0% vs right-shot opponents (3,643).
MacKinnon shoots right. Bozak is 56.0% vs right-shot opponents (4,312).
Home / Away
MacKinnon
Bozak
Home
49.7% (6,444)
56.0% (6,333)
Away
44.0% (6,689)
51.0% (6,396)
By Period
MacKinnon
Bozak
P1
47.4%
53.2%
P2
46.6%
52.8%
P3
46.1%
54.5%
OT
48.4%
52.9%
Final 5 min
49.0%
53.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
MacKinnon
48.0%▼
54.0%
46.8%
Bozak
46.0%▼
48.5%
53.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 26, 2022 | 2 | 09:26 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Oct 28, 2021 | 3 | 16:01 | Neutral | Tyler Bozak |
| Oct 28, 2021 | 3 | 14:01 | Defensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Oct 28, 2021 | 2 | 17:39 | Neutral | Tyler Bozak |
| Oct 28, 2021 | 1 | 13:20 | Defensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Apr 24, 2021 | 2 | 10:07 | Defensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Apr 22, 2021 | 1 | 13:39 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Apr 14, 2021 | 3 | 16:44 | Neutral | Tyler Bozak |
| Jan 15, 2021 | 2 | 05:21 | Neutral | Tyler Bozak |
| Jan 15, 2021 | 1 | 05:54 | Defensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Jan 13, 2021 | 1 | 03:25 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Jan 2, 2020 | 3 | 13:37 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Jan 2, 2020 | 3 | 11:01 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Jan 2, 2020 | 1 | 11:13 | Defensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Dec 16, 2019 | 1 | 11:16 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Apr 1, 2019 | 1 | 07:07 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Feb 16, 2019 | 1 | 03:24 | Defensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Dec 14, 2018 | 2 | 16:05 | Defensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Dec 29, 2017 | 3 | 00:37 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Dec 11, 2016 | 3 | 16:15 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |