Nathan MacKinnon vs Tyler Bozak

All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report

Tyler Bozak holds a +6.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Bozak on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 12 meetings). MacKinnon wins 46.0% vs right-shot opponents — Bozak shoots right.

Prediction Breakdown
Model XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian) MacKinnon 46.8% vs Bozak 53.4% (-6.7%)
H2H factor Bozak leads 24-15 in 39 meetings
Offensive zone MacKinnon 69.7%
Defensive zone MacKinnon 82.7%
Neutral zone MacKinnon 80.0%
Result Nathan MacKinnon favored at 77.7%
77.7%
22.3%
MacKinnon Bozak
Head-to-Head Record
15 - 24 (39 meetings)
15
24
MacKinnon Bozak
Last 10: MacKinnon 1-9 Bozak

Zone Breakdown

Offensive Zone
Edge: Bozak
4
8
MacKinnon Bozak
12 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bozak
5
7
MacKinnon Bozak
12 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bozak
6
9
MacKinnon Bozak
15 total

Situation Matchup

Situation
MacKinnon
Bozak
Edge
Even Strength
46.1% (11,218)
53.7% (9,596)
-7.6%
Power Play
53.3% (1,412)
55.2% (1,990)
-1.9%
Penalty Kill
42.8% (502)
48.0% (1,094)
-5.2%
On even strength, Bozak has a +7.6% edge.

Handedness & Splits

Handedness
Bozak shoots right. MacKinnon is 46.0% vs right-shot opponents (3,643).
MacKinnon shoots right. Bozak is 56.0% vs right-shot opponents (4,312).
Home / Away
MacKinnon
Bozak
Home
49.7% (6,444)
56.0% (6,333)
Away
44.0% (6,689)
51.0% (6,396)
By Period
MacKinnon
Bozak
P1
47.4%
53.2%
P2
46.6%
52.8%
P3
46.1%
54.5%
OT
48.4%
52.9%
Final 5 min
49.0%
53.6%

Recent Form

Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
MacKinnon
48.0%
54.0%
46.8%
Bozak
46.0%
48.5%
53.5%

Recent Faceoffs

Date Period Time Zone Winner
Apr 26, 2022 2 09:26 Offensive Tyler Bozak
Oct 28, 2021 3 16:01 Neutral Tyler Bozak
Oct 28, 2021 3 14:01 Defensive Tyler Bozak
Oct 28, 2021 2 17:39 Neutral Tyler Bozak
Oct 28, 2021 1 13:20 Defensive Tyler Bozak
Apr 24, 2021 2 10:07 Defensive Tyler Bozak
Apr 22, 2021 1 13:39 Neutral Nathan MacKinnon
Apr 14, 2021 3 16:44 Neutral Tyler Bozak
Jan 15, 2021 2 05:21 Neutral Tyler Bozak
Jan 15, 2021 1 05:54 Defensive Tyler Bozak
Jan 13, 2021 1 03:25 Offensive Tyler Bozak
Jan 2, 2020 3 13:37 Offensive Nathan MacKinnon
Jan 2, 2020 3 11:01 Offensive Tyler Bozak
Jan 2, 2020 1 11:13 Defensive Tyler Bozak
Dec 16, 2019 1 11:16 Offensive Tyler Bozak
Apr 1, 2019 1 07:07 Neutral Nathan MacKinnon
Feb 16, 2019 1 03:24 Defensive Nathan MacKinnon
Dec 14, 2018 2 16:05 Defensive Tyler Bozak
Dec 29, 2017 3 00:37 Offensive Nathan MacKinnon
Dec 11, 2016 3 16:15 Offensive Tyler Bozak