Scouting Report
Victor Rask holds a +2.8% FO% edge overall. Look for MacKinnon on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
MacKinnon 48.6% vs Rask 51.1% (-2.8%)
H2H factor
MacKinnon leads 8-2 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Rask 74.3%
Defensive zone
Rask 68.0%
Neutral zone
Rask 82.9%
Result
Victor Rask favored at 76.5%
23.5%
76.5%
MacKinnon
Rask
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
2
(10 meetings)
8
2
MacKinnon
Rask
Last 10: MacKinnon 8-2 Rask
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: MacKinnon
3
1
MacKinnon
Rask
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: MacKinnon
2
0
MacKinnon
Rask
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: MacKinnon
3
1
MacKinnon
Rask
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
MacKinnon
Rask
Edge
Even Strength
48.2% (849)
51.7% (862)
-3.5%
Power Play
51.0% (151)
45.3% (64)
+5.7%
Penalty Kill
44.7% (47)
44.4% (9)
+0.3%
On power play, MacKinnon has a +5.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Rask shoots left. MacKinnon is 49.8% vs left-shot opponents (705).
MacKinnon shoots right. Rask is 45.1% vs right-shot opponents (350).
Home / Away
MacKinnon
Rask
Home
51.2% (521)
53.6% (466)
Away
45.6% (526)
48.8% (469)
By Period
MacKinnon
Rask
P1
49.9%
52.4%
P2
48.0%
50.5%
P3
47.9%
50.8%
OT
25.0%
53.3%
Final 5 min
53.0%
49.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
MacKinnon
48.0%▼
54.0%
48.4%
Rask
60.0%▲
49.5%
51.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 30, 2015 | 3 | 16:35 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Oct 30, 2015 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Victor Rask |
| Oct 30, 2015 | 2 | 06:49 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Oct 30, 2015 | 2 | 00:20 | Defensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Oct 30, 2015 | 1 | 03:18 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Oct 21, 2015 | 3 | 00:46 | Defensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Oct 21, 2015 | 2 | 17:15 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Oct 21, 2015 | 2 | 04:32 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Oct 21, 2015 | 1 | 03:14 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Oct 21, 2015 | 1 | 01:16 | Offensive | Victor Rask |