Scouting Report
Victor Rask holds a +5.2% FO% edge overall. MacKinnon wins 44.5% vs left-shot opponents — Rask shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
MacKinnon 45.9% vs Rask 50.4% (-5.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
MacKinnon 66.5%
Defensive zone
MacKinnon 74.6%
Neutral zone
MacKinnon 72.7%
Result
Nathan MacKinnon favored at 72.7%
72.7%
27.3%
MacKinnon
Rask
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
2
(2 meetings)
0
2
MacKinnon
Rask
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: Rask
0
2
MacKinnon
Rask
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
MacKinnon
Rask
Edge
Even Strength
45.8% (755)
50.6% (172)
-4.8%
Power Play
48.3% (60)
50.0% (4)
-1.7%
On even strength, Rask has a +4.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Rask shoots left. MacKinnon is 44.5% vs left-shot opponents (636).
MacKinnon shoots right. Rask is 56.9% vs right-shot opponents (65).
Home / Away
MacKinnon
Rask
Home
49.5% (396)
53.7% (82)
Away
41.7% (448)
47.9% (94)
By Period
MacKinnon
Rask
P1
50.2%
56.0%
P2
43.8%
47.5%
P3
41.4%
49.3%
Final 5 min
41.0%
50.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
MacKinnon
48.0%▼
54.0%
45.4%
Rask
60.0%▲
49.5%
50.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 17, 2022 | 3 | 06:46 | Neutral | Victor Rask |
| Jan 17, 2022 | 2 | 00:33 | Neutral | Victor Rask |