Nathan MacKinnon vs Victor Rask
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Victor Rask holds a +3.3% FO% edge overall. Look for MacKinnon on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 12 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
MacKinnon 46.8% vs Rask 50.1% (-3.3%)
H2H factor
MacKinnon leads 22-11 in 33 meetings
Offensive zone
Rask 81.5%
Defensive zone
Rask 66.5%
Neutral zone
Rask 84.6%
Result
Victor Rask favored at 79.1%
20.9%
79.1%
MacKinnon
Rask
Head-to-Head Record
22
-
11
(33 meetings)
22
11
MacKinnon
Rask
Last 10: MacKinnon 3-7 Rask
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: MacKinnon
8
4
MacKinnon
Rask
12 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: MacKinnon
6
2
MacKinnon
Rask
8 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: MacKinnon
8
5
MacKinnon
Rask
13 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
MacKinnon
Rask
Edge
Even Strength
46.1% (11,218)
50.0% (4,428)
-3.9%
Power Play
53.3% (1,412)
54.3% (363)
-1.0%
Penalty Kill
42.8% (502)
35.2% (54)
+7.6%
On penalty kill, MacKinnon has a +7.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Rask shoots left. MacKinnon is 47.1% vs left-shot opponents (9,490).
MacKinnon shoots right. Rask is 46.6% vs right-shot opponents (1,743).
Home / Away
MacKinnon
Rask
Home
49.7% (6,444)
52.0% (2,380)
Away
44.0% (6,689)
48.3% (2,465)
By Period
MacKinnon
Rask
P1
47.4%
50.7%
P2
46.6%
48.9%
P3
46.1%
50.7%
OT
48.4%
52.1%
Final 5 min
49.0%
48.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
MacKinnon
48.0%▼
54.0%
46.8%
Rask
60.0%▲
49.5%
50.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 17, 2022 | 3 | 06:46 | Neutral | Victor Rask |
| Jan 17, 2022 | 2 | 00:33 | Neutral | Victor Rask |
| Mar 20, 2021 | 3 | 12:33 | Offensive | Victor Rask |
| Mar 18, 2021 | 3 | 14:41 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Mar 18, 2021 | 3 | 11:13 | Neutral | Victor Rask |
| Mar 18, 2021 | 2 | 01:51 | Defensive | Victor Rask |
| Mar 18, 2021 | 1 | 19:02 | Neutral | Victor Rask |
| Feb 24, 2021 | 1 | 09:44 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Mar 19, 2019 | 3 | 13:10 | Defensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Mar 19, 2019 | 2 | 07:04 | Defensive | Victor Rask |
| Jan 23, 2019 | 1 | 13:44 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Nov 2, 2017 | 3 | 13:29 | Defensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Nov 2, 2017 | 3 | 02:56 | Offensive | Victor Rask |
| Nov 2, 2017 | 2 | 13:34 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Nov 2, 2017 | 1 | 19:55 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Nov 2, 2017 | 1 | 08:26 | Offensive | Victor Rask |
| Nov 2, 2017 | 1 | 06:19 | Defensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Mar 7, 2017 | 3 | 04:15 | Defensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Feb 17, 2017 | 3 | 18:54 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Feb 17, 2017 | 1 | 18:02 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |