Scouting Report
Victor Rask holds a +13.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Rask on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). MacKinnon wins 43.4% vs left-shot opponents — Rask shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
MacKinnon 42.6% vs Rask 54.3% (-13.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Rask 92.6%
Defensive zone
Rask 63.7%
Neutral zone
Rask 90.4%
Result
Victor Rask favored at 82.6%
17.4%
82.6%
MacKinnon
Rask
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
MacKinnon
Rask
Last 6: MacKinnon 4-2 Rask
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Rask
1
2
MacKinnon
Rask
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: MacKinnon
2
0
MacKinnon
Rask
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: MacKinnon
1
0
MacKinnon
Rask
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
MacKinnon
Rask
Edge
Even Strength
40.7% (953)
54.5% (628)
-13.8%
Power Play
51.4% (148)
58.0% (88)
-6.6%
On even strength, Rask has a +13.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Rask shoots left. MacKinnon is 43.4% vs left-shot opponents (808).
MacKinnon shoots right. Rask is 50.4% vs right-shot opponents (248).
Home / Away
MacKinnon
Rask
Home
42.1% (617)
58.0% (355)
Away
41.7% (540)
51.8% (361)
By Period
MacKinnon
Rask
P1
43.4%
54.5%
P2
40.9%
56.3%
P3
40.8%
54.2%
OT
55.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
44.0%
53.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
MacKinnon
48.0%▼
54.0%
41.9%
Rask
60.0%▲
49.5%
54.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 2, 2017 | 3 | 13:29 | Defensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Nov 2, 2017 | 3 | 02:56 | Offensive | Victor Rask |
| Nov 2, 2017 | 2 | 13:34 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Nov 2, 2017 | 1 | 19:55 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Nov 2, 2017 | 1 | 08:26 | Offensive | Victor Rask |
| Nov 2, 2017 | 1 | 06:19 | Defensive | Nathan MacKinnon |