Scouting Report
Nathan MacKinnon holds a +3.1% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
MacKinnon 48.7% vs Rask 46.2% (+3.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Rask 54.3%
Defensive zone
Rask 50.8%
Neutral zone
Rask 54.9%
Result
Victor Rask favored at 54.1%
45.9%
54.1%
MacKinnon
Rask
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
MacKinnon
Rask
Last 6: MacKinnon 2-4 Rask
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Rask
0
1
MacKinnon
Rask
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Rask
0
1
MacKinnon
Rask
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
MacKinnon
Rask
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
MacKinnon
Rask
Edge
Even Strength
48.5% (439)
45.5% (442)
+3.0%
Power Play
54.8% (42)
44.7% (38)
+10.1%
On power play, MacKinnon has a +10.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Rask shoots left. MacKinnon is 47.4% vs left-shot opponents (424).
MacKinnon shoots right. Rask is 45.2% vs right-shot opponents (166).
Home / Away
MacKinnon
Rask
Home
52.5% (221)
45.6% (228)
Away
45.2% (272)
45.2% (252)
By Period
MacKinnon
Rask
P1
50.5%
45.1%
P2
45.5%
45.5%
P3
48.5%
45.8%
Final 5 min
44.1%
41.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
MacKinnon
48.0%▼
54.0%
48.5%
Rask
60.0%▲
49.5%
45.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 20, 2021 | 3 | 12:33 | Offensive | Victor Rask |
| Mar 18, 2021 | 3 | 14:41 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Mar 18, 2021 | 3 | 11:13 | Neutral | Victor Rask |
| Mar 18, 2021 | 2 | 01:51 | Defensive | Victor Rask |
| Mar 18, 2021 | 1 | 19:02 | Neutral | Victor Rask |
| Feb 24, 2021 | 1 | 09:44 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |