Nathan MacKinnon vs Vinnie Hinostroza
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Nathan MacKinnon holds a +1.5% FO% edge overall. MacKinnon wins 45.6% vs right-shot opponents — Hinostroza shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
MacKinnon 51.3% vs Hinostroza 50.0% (+1.5%)
Offensive zone
MacKinnon 58.7%
Defensive zone
Hinostroza 62.5%
Neutral zone
MacKinnon 52.9%
Result
Vinnie Hinostroza favored at 50.3%
49.7%
50.3%
MacKinnon
Hinostroza
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
MacKinnon
Hinostroza
Edge
Even Strength
50.0% (992)
50.0% (42)
+0.0%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hinostroza shoots right. MacKinnon is 45.6% vs right-shot opponents (333).
MacKinnon shoots right. Hinostroza is 58.3% vs right-shot opponents (12).
Home / Away
MacKinnon
Hinostroza
Home
53.3% (591)
44.4% (27)
Away
49.6% (581)
60.0% (15)
By Period
MacKinnon
Hinostroza
P1
49.9%
38.1%
P2
53.2%
63.6%
P3
50.8%
60.0%
Final 5 min
56.1%
72.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
MacKinnon
48.0%▼
54.0%
51.5%
Hinostroza
50.0%▲
41.5%
50.0%