Nathan MacKinnon vs Vinnie Hinostroza
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Nathan MacKinnon holds a +6.2% FO% edge overall. Look for MacKinnon on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). MacKinnon wins 46.0% vs right-shot opponents — Hinostroza shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
MacKinnon 46.7% vs Hinostroza 41.9% (+6.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
MacKinnon 61.8%
Defensive zone
MacKinnon 84.5%
Neutral zone
MacKinnon 70.9%
Result
Nathan MacKinnon favored at 76.9%
76.9%
23.1%
MacKinnon
Hinostroza
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
MacKinnon
Hinostroza
Last 6: MacKinnon 4-2 Hinostroza
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hinostroza
0
2
MacKinnon
Hinostroza
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: MacKinnon
4
0
MacKinnon
Hinostroza
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
MacKinnon
Hinostroza
Edge
Even Strength
46.0% (11,051)
39.5% (534)
+6.5%
Power Play
53.2% (1,394)
62.5% (32)
-9.3%
Penalty Kill
42.9% (499)
0.0% (5)
+42.9%
On penalty kill, MacKinnon has a +42.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hinostroza shoots right. MacKinnon is 46.0% vs right-shot opponents (3,578).
MacKinnon shoots right. Hinostroza is 36.4% vs right-shot opponents (184).
Home / Away
MacKinnon
Hinostroza
Home
49.6% (6,342)
43.6% (344)
Away
43.9% (6,603)
35.7% (227)
By Period
MacKinnon
Hinostroza
P1
47.4%
41.5%
P2
46.5%
40.4%
P3
45.9%
39.6%
OT
47.7%
0.0%
Final 5 min
48.9%
36.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
MacKinnon
54.0%▬
54.5%
46.7%
Hinostroza
50.0%▲
42.0%
40.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 23, 2018 | 2 | 12:43 | Defensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Nov 23, 2018 | 2 | 08:11 | Defensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Apr 4, 2017 | 2 | 14:29 | Defensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Dec 23, 2016 | 3 | 12:57 | Offensive | Vinnie Hinostroza |
| Dec 23, 2016 | 2 | 19:22 | Defensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Dec 23, 2016 | 2 | 12:16 | Offensive | Vinnie Hinostroza |