Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (53.7% vs 54.1%). Walker wins 54.9% vs left-shot opponents — Paul shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Walker 51.8% vs Paul 53.3% (-0.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Paul 69.5%
Defensive zone
Paul 53.7%
Neutral zone
Paul 50.6%
Result
Nick Paul favored at 51.6%
48.4%
51.6%
Walker
Paul
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
1
(3 meetings)
2
1
Walker
Paul
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Walker
1
0
Walker
Paul
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Walker
Paul
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Walker
Paul
Edge
Even Strength
54.0% (87)
53.2% (327)
+0.8%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (8)
50.0% (32)
+0.0%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Paul shoots left. Walker is 54.9% vs left-shot opponents (51).
Walker shoots left. Paul is 53.8% vs left-shot opponents (299).
Home / Away
Walker
Paul
Home
51.9% (54)
54.6% (183)
Away
56.1% (41)
53.6% (233)
By Period
Walker
Paul
P1
63.6%
56.3%
P2
46.7%
54.8%
P3
50.0%
52.4%
Final 5 min
45.0%
59.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Walker
52.0%▼
56.0%
53.7%
Paul
54.0%▬
54.0%
54.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 16, 2026 | 2 | 12:34 | Neutral | Nick Paul |
| Jan 16, 2026 | 2 | 12:27 | Defensive | Nathan Walker |
| Jan 16, 2026 | 1 | 14:10 | Neutral | Nathan Walker |