Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (52.1% vs 52.2%). Look for Paul on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Walker 51.8% vs Paul 52.1% (-0.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Walker 50.3%
Defensive zone
Paul 55.7%
Neutral zone
Paul 53.0%
Result
Nick Paul favored at 54.1%
45.9%
54.1%
Walker
Paul
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Walker
Paul
Last 5: Walker 3-2 Paul
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Walker
2
0
Walker
Paul
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Paul
1
2
Walker
Paul
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Walker
Paul
Edge
Even Strength
52.8% (451)
52.5% (3,746)
+0.3%
Power Play
45.5% (11)
56.1% (469)
-10.6%
Penalty Kill
45.7% (35)
46.8% (571)
-1.1%
On power play, Paul has a +10.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Paul shoots left. Walker is 52.5% vs left-shot opponents (301).
Walker shoots left. Paul is 54.6% vs left-shot opponents (3,017).
Home / Away
Walker
Paul
Home
52.9% (295)
52.6% (2,384)
Away
51.0% (202)
51.7% (2,403)
By Period
Walker
Paul
P1
59.2%
53.8%
P2
47.4%
51.1%
P3
50.9%
51.9%
Final 5 min
54.3%
51.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Walker
54.0%▼
56.0%
52.1%
Paul
54.0%▬
54.5%
52.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 16, 2026 | 2 | 12:34 | Neutral | Nick Paul |
| Jan 16, 2026 | 2 | 12:27 | Defensive | Nathan Walker |
| Jan 16, 2026 | 1 | 14:10 | Neutral | Nathan Walker |
| Dec 19, 2024 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nick Paul |
| Dec 19, 2024 | 1 | 14:11 | Defensive | Nathan Walker |